零下二度 engagement report
@jackli727 - 45K followers on X
Measured over 44 original posts from a 30-day window, last computed on October 27, 2026.
Engagement
A typical post picks up 26 interactions against 45K followers, an engagement rate of 0.058%. Measured over 44 original posts, its engagement rate beats 27% of 21,185 tracked accounts of a similar size, which puts it in the middle of its size range rather than at either end. Posts are seen about 7.1K times each, and 0.373% of those impressions turn into an interaction. That is about 15.7% of the follower count, which is the gap between an audience on paper and an audience in a timeline. Posting runs at about 1.5 posts a day over the last 30 days, though only 27% of days saw any activity at all. Most posts go out around 14:00 UTC, and Wednesday is the busiest day of the week. Of the 44 posts sampled, 55% carry an image or video. The account's strongest tracked post pulled 204 interactions, about 7.8x its own typical post.
Measured over 44 original posts from a 30-day window, last computed on October 27, 2026.
Compared with accounts its own size
零下二度's engagement rate beats 27% of the tracked X accounts closest to it in follower count (21,185 accounts, accounts of similar size (decile 4 of 10)). A percentile is spread evenly by construction, so 50 really is the middle of that group and 90 really is its top tenth.
On engagement per impression rather than per follower it beats 12% of the same group. When those two numbers disagree, the gap is about how far its posts travel rather than how people react to them.
Where this sits in the catalog
At 0.058%, 零下二度 sits above the 25th percentile of the 212,825 accounts in this comparison. That places it in the below the median band, which runs 0.025% to 0.146%.
Show the percentile table
| Percentile | Engagement rate |
|---|---|
| 10th percentile | 0.004% |
| 25th percentile | 0.025% |
| 50th percentile | 0.146% |
| 75th percentile | 0.697% |
| 90th percentile | 2.61% |
| 99th percentile | 83.0% |
This ruler is the whole measured catalog, not a size-matched group: it shows where the raw rate falls across every account we can measure, all of which are large. For a like-for-like comparison, read the size-band percentile above instead. See how the bands are built
Posting timing
This account posts most often around 14:00 UTC, and Wednesday is its busiest day of the week. The bars below are the catalog-wide pattern, with this account's own busiest slot marked. They do not show how this account performs at each hour: we keep one aggregate per account, not one per hour, so that measurement does not exist in our data.
Show engagement by hour posted, utc as a table
| Hour (UTC) | Vs author median | Posts |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 UTC | -1% | 89K |
| 01:00 UTC | -2% | 90K |
| 02:00 UTC | -3% | 88K |
| 03:00 UTC | -4% | 94K |
| 04:00 UTC | -5% | 76K |
| 05:00 UTC | -4% | 75K |
| 06:00 UTC | -5% | 86K |
| 07:00 UTC | -5% | 93K |
| 08:00 UTC | -4% | 108K |
| 09:00 UTC | -4% | 124K |
| 10:00 UTC | -3% | 129K |
| 11:00 UTC | -3% | 141K |
| 12:00 UTC | -3% | 154K |
| 13:00 UTC | -3% | 167K |
| 14:00 UTC | -4% | 173K |
| 15:00 UTC | -2% | 176K |
| 16:00 UTC | -3% | 171K |
| 17:00 UTC | -3% | 159K |
| 18:00 UTC | -2% | 149K |
| 19:00 UTC | -2% | 141K |
| 20:00 UTC | -1% | 131K |
| 21:00 UTC | 0% | 116K |
| 22:00 UTC | -2% | 100K |
| 23:00 UTC | -1% | 90K |
Show engagement by day of week as a table
| Day | Vs author median | Posts |
|---|---|---|
| Sunday | +5% | 393K |
| Monday | +1% | 483K |
| Tuesday | -2% | 520K |
| Wednesday | -3% | 472K |
| Thursday | -2% | 430K |
| Friday | -3% | 447K |
| Saturday | +2% | 393K |
Formats this account uses
Its own posting mix on the left, and what each of those formats does across every account we track on the right. Only formats where the effect clears our publish test appear here, so an empty row is a format we could not measure rather than one that does nothing.
| Format | This account | Catalog effect | 95% interval | Accounts behind it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Image or video | 55% of posts | +111% | +108% to +115% | 34K |
| Outbound link | 0% of posts | -41% | -42% to -40% | 32K |
| Typical length | - | no effect | -2% to -1% | 42K |
- 55% of this account's sampled posts carry an image or video. Across the catalog, posts with an image or video run 111% above the same accounts' other posts.
- 0% of its posts carry a link off X. Across the catalog, posts with an outbound link run 41% below the same accounts' other posts.
- Its average post runs 220 characters, which falls in the 180 - 280 characters band. Across the catalog, posts of 180 to 280 characters match the same accounts' other posts almost exactly.
These are catalog-wide differences applied to this account's own posting mix, not a measurement of how each format performs for this account specifically. We keep one median per account, not one per format per account, so the second thing is not something this data can tell you.
Best tweets
- Oct 21, 20267.8x their median
回顾一下上周到目前闪迪的节奏：上周二三1550附近看到日线到周线下跌动能增强，所以开始连空三天，跌破1500空到1444，跌破1400空到1366、1336，跌破1312空到1228，一气呵成。然后抄底（价格在1530附近就已经锁定了1236-1228，防守1200）。并强调1228以下禁止追空。昨天强调1312以下禁止追空。明天我再强调1400以下禁止追空。这一系列动作，都是k线动能的变化所决定的。 止跌信号、滞涨信号、加速上涨信号、加速下跌信号，这些底部形态的指标如果很熟悉，就能精准拿捏反弹的每个止盈点，以及加速下跌前锁定空单的止盈点，利于短中线的大波段抄底、反弹大波段的高空介入等关键点的把握。以及短线上有时突破阻力可以直接加仓追，有时突破不能追而是需要等回测一次再进，都有理可循。 如果熟练掌握k线动能理论，有更多时间和精力去打短中线，就可能做得很出色。不论是做哪一行，我都偏爱思考，所以有很多自己的独特总结和心得，我们不需要什么都懂，知识太碎片化反而不好，也不必做得太泛，战线拉得太长，不如只奉一种方法不断去深耕、优化。我觉得个人研究的这套东西很实用，全是自己瞎鼓捣出来的，相对容易掌握，帮助自己预判锁定每个回调阶段最低可能跌到哪抄底，每天反弹到哪适合止盈，越简单越好。 近期考虑恢复每周一课的节奏。稍微有一点点基础的都可以报名上课。针对btc/eth/sol、sndk，muu等主要几个龙头做k线动能理论的实盘讲解，学习抓取多空点位的指标、怎么抓取和风控思路等基本技能。 年龄大了，身体远不如以前，再不能像前几年那样能大把时间花在看盘上，如果有琐事影响，基本一天无法兼顾多个标的，比如我已经很多天都没有关注美股开盘的时间了。所以以上五六个标的每天都做的只有两三个，其它都是不定时参与。4小时级别以下的（超）短线交易现在也做得少，基本只做4小时到日线。这样轻松一点，也避免过多的折腾、损耗。只有到了单边上涨大趋势，自己才会变成滚仓超人。精力旺盛且专注的人，可以做得更好。相信你就是市场的天选之人。
- Oct 21, 20267.8x their median
sol，sui，near，hype，xrp，doge等都可以定投。但部分山寨的牛市顶部比btc会提前先到，所以要提前清仓。比如near，这段时期弹性很强，提前在走牛市，因此它的牛市的最高点也会最先出现，然后连续高位横盘震荡一两年再配合btc牛市结束后加速下坠。near牛市的顶点一般在btc减半日到来的半年前就结束了，也就是绝大多数币种熊牛交替一走完，near就已经见顶了（预判今年底左右就差不多了）。从它现在在走周线级别的单边上涨趋势即可判断。 sol特点是4年一轮中常有双顶，所以也有两次机会逃顶。第二次的顶部时间基本跟btc大盘同步，没有什么操心的。但为避开btc一见顶就容易快速下杀，建议比btc提前2个月逃顶。 doge的牛市顶点一般在btc减半的半年后出现，会突然发力，一口气猛冲。逃顶的时间点预判在2028年10-11月。 xrp骨灰级山寨的顶部也是在btc减半后的牛市中后期出现，周期基本一致。但为避开btc一见顶就容易快速下杀，建议比btc提前2个月逃顶。 sui是跟eth同步，基本跟btc大盘同步涨跌，周期也相近。但为避开btc一见顶就容易快速下杀，建议比btc提前2个月逃顶。
- Jul 30, 20265.9x their median
A、2026熊市比特币的最低点？ 126208-（126208-15443）*0.618=57755（刚好是整个上半年的最低点，实际57758，误差仅3个点）。57755若不破，这里就是绝对的年度最低点。5.7w附近是一个超级大支撑，年底我会把这个对应的指标标出来复盘。注：15443是2022熊市的最低点。 B、比特币2028-2029牛市的最高点预期？ btc第三轮减半周期（2018-2021）牛市最高点：3621+66000*1 = 69,621 btc第四轮减半周期（2022-2025）牛市最高点：15443+66000*1.618 = 122,231（实际126208，误差约4k点） btc第五轮减半周期（2026-2029）的最高点前瞻： 2026最低点+66000*2，假设2026最低点是57758，那么下轮牛市最高点是57758+66000*2 = 189,758 所以2024-2025奠定了机构牛后，下一轮比特币上涨的倍数不会再超过4倍。 C、不会超过4倍的数据验证依据： 2018-2021最高点/最低点：69198/3621 = 19.11 2022-2026最高点/最低点：126208/15443 = 8.173 前两轮熊牛周期倍数差的阈值：19.11/8.17 = 2.339 所以按这个规律下轮牛市最高点/最低点的倍数就是或接近：8.173/2.339 = 3.494（不会再超过4倍是符合客观规律的） 按照上述推算，下轮比特币最高点189758，最低点57755，189758/57755=3.28，基本接近3.494。所以这个误差很小。
- Oct 27, 20262.8x their median
周一到周二的反弹都是诱多，可以逢高空（80600-80850），周三到周五加速。下跌过程中勿追。重点盯78800的破位，这里一破，就会加速回踩触及2日线级别的支撑77555附近，多头迅猛反击。阻力目前81000，短空防守在81350。
- Oct 22, 20262.7x their median
一觉醒来都回撤了。连涨两天今天一下都下来了，昨天群里有人问这周会走出单边吗，我说不能，只是防御型反攻。攻两天遇阻就折返了，这就是防御型反攻，即浮盈中边攻边保本守。btc又要回踩一次2日线的支撑81155/81086。 eth 昨晚最高点2516附近止盈，已经空仓。今晚重新开仓。 btc昨晚83850止盈了一部分回踩83333补仓，这个没到目标已保本损。想多吃一口不易。所以中长线单在非单边趋势下不容易拿。 mstr前天踏空，昨天没有回踩也没有赶上，151这里虚破也下来了，重新有机会再上车。所以，合约不存在踏空。踏空比被套强得多。 sol现在回踩到前天的支撑103.5，103破就再回踩一次100.35附近，所以又产生一次抄底机会。
- Oct 25, 20262.2x their median
下周科技巨头财报和美联储会议交织，波动加剧，左侧风险加大。 btc：最近的支撑点79500、78750。79500昨天已经往下溢到79155，下跌动能增强，78750可能守不住，这里跌破就表示8w实破，下跌就会加速。下周低多再只能先后接77455、76455。76200附近是大波段87385-57758的0.382位置，第一个斐波点，目标抄底点。 eth：昨天2308虚破到2280，下方较强支撑再就是2164。小支撑点：2256、2222。2220若破防就直接到2164，这是大波段2806-1503第二个斐波点位置，目标抄底点。 sol：100下方两个支撑点：97.25（95不破容易收到102-105）、93.85（容易收到99.5-101）。92.5是60-125大波段0.50位置，接近周线boll中轨91.25，目标抄底点。
- Oct 21, 20262.1x their median
下轮btc牛顶时间锁定在2029年8月左右。这轮熊市的最低点相对上轮提前了4个月产生，熊底提前到，牛顶就可能提前出现。提前跑是最稳妥的。以往的大周期定律大体没变，变的是熊市的周期缩短了，牛市的长度基本不变。
- Oct 20, 20262.1x their median
上轮熊市结束后开启反弹，周线macd爬上零轴时是2023年3月左右，当时调整了3000点，也就是调整了时价的10%。现在的时间点相当于2023.3。这里刻舟求剑也调整10%，最低就摸到87350-8735，接近78666附近，也刚好是78800附近的支撑。极限是3日ema52（76086），对应的是87350-57758调整到0.382的位置，但这里不一定能到，因为3日线级别的下跌动能还没有增强到足以跌到这个支撑位，至少要先在触及79155附近先反弹收上去。所以不确定的低位，不能用空单去追求做止盈目标，空单是不能拿长线的。调整有限，只能低多、抄底为主。能不能在7.8-7.6w抄底，要看庄家给不给机会。 当前短线虽然震荡，但结构上依然是多头，周线的开口往上，就一定不可能有主跌浪。相反，下阶段继续主升浪。此次再抄底，是一定要往下阶段的新高方向拿去的。但离真正的单边上涨趋势还有一段时间。 2023年2-4月周线macd归零轴到爬上零轴后，在零轴上方一直横盘震荡到2023年8月，此时月线金叉形成，周线级别的上涨动能迅速增强，才开启了2023年9月到2024年3月这半年的大单边上涨趋势。我就是靠这一波行情迅速崛起，平均两三天翻倍一次，别人看傻了。也间接成就了推特。 结合当前所处的阶段，可以前瞻本轮的单边上涨趋势在明年的3月后。具体即将释放这个信号。我会提前喊。
- Oct 21, 20261.8x their median
今天btc准备要突破83450。这里突破，就终结了近期的震荡，开始反攻86000-88800以及会议落地后进攻91000以上的空间。
- Oct 23, 20261.6x their median
闪迪下探的下限说一下：1300-1200之间只有1222附近这道支撑，所以多次强调只要1300跌破，只在1228进多或补仓。已经触及了两次这道周线的支撑，再下去这里还可以接，但可能虚破到5日线boll下轨线1196附近寻求支撑，这里接近腰斩线1188，因此1180附近做个防守。 腰斩线1188以下的支撑是1088，这里是底部的极限。这里可以挂多单，而不能空单去追求止盈。不要去参考7月抄底1000附近，现在跟7月盘面不一样，刻舟求剑就是错误的。 上方阻力：1396/1408、1480、1526。突破1480-1526这道坎，周线级别才会出止跌信号，这时正式转多。1316-1336属于多空上下缓冲的区域，不建议过多的操作。
Ranked by total interactions across everything we have tracked for this account, which is a longer history than the 30-day window the rates above use. The multiple compares each post to this account's own median.
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Reading these numbers
A typical post picks up 26 interactions against 45K followers, an engagement rate of 0.058%. Measured over 44 original posts, its engagement rate beats 27% of 21,185 tracked accounts of a similar size, which puts it in the middle of its size range rather than at either end. Posts are seen about 7.1K times each, and 0.373% of those impressions turn into an interaction. That is about 15.7% of the follower count, which is the gap between an audience on paper and an audience in a timeline. Posting runs at about 1.5 posts a day over the last 30 days, though only 27% of days saw any activity at all. Most posts go out around 14:00 UTC, and Wednesday is the busiest day of the week. Of the 44 posts sampled, 55% carry an image or video. The account's strongest tracked post pulled 204 interactions, about 7.8x its own typical post.
- What is 零下二度's engagement rate on X?
- 零下二度 (@jackli727) has an engagement rate of 0.058%, based on the median interactions across 44 original posts from the last 30 days against 45,403 followers. Replies, reposts and quote-posts of other people are excluded from that sample.
- Is that a good engagement rate?
- At 0.058%, 零下二度 sits above the 25th percentile of the 212,825 accounts in this comparison. Those comparison accounts are all large ones, because our scanning cadence is weighted towards big accounts, so this is a ranking among peers of similar scale rather than a ranking across X.
- Does @jackli727 have real engagement?
- Its engagement rate beats 27% of the tracked X accounts closest to it in follower count (21,185 accounts), which puts it in the middle of its size range group. Ranking inside a size band matters because engagement rate falls as accounts grow, so a raw rate would mostly re-measure the follower count. It is a starting point for a look at follower quality, not a verdict on it.
- When does @jackli727 post?
- Most posts go out around 14:00 UTC, and Wednesday is its busiest day, at roughly 1.47 posts per day across the measured window.