Casus Belli engagement report
@casusbellii - 86K followers on X
Measured over 14 original posts from a 30-day window, last computed on October 2, 2026.
Engagement
A typical post picks up 434 interactions against 86K followers, an engagement rate of 0.504%. Measured over 14 original posts, its engagement rate beats 79% of 21,185 tracked accounts of a similar size. Comparing inside a size band matters here: engagement rate falls as accounts grow, so a raw rate would mostly just re-measure the follower count. Posts are seen about 88K times each, and 0.494% of those impressions turn into an interaction. That is about 101.8% of the follower count, which is the gap between an audience on paper and an audience in a timeline. Posting runs at about 2.5 posts a day over the last 30 days, with activity on roughly 50% of days. Most posts go out around 12:00 UTC, and Wednesday is the busiest day of the week. Of the 14 posts sampled, 57% carry an image or video, 7% are part of a thread and 36% link out. The account's strongest tracked post pulled 9.0K interactions, about 21x its own typical post. Recurring topics include #mali, #dioura, #kayes.
Measured over 14 original posts from a 30-day window, last computed on October 2, 2026. Recurring tags: #mali, #dioura, #kayes.
Compared with accounts its own size
Casus Belli's engagement rate beats 79% of the tracked X accounts closest to it in follower count (21,185 accounts, accounts of similar size (decile 7 of 10)). A percentile is spread evenly by construction, so 50 really is the middle of that group and 90 really is its top tenth.
On engagement per impression rather than per follower it beats 23% of the same group. When those two numbers disagree, the gap is about how far its posts travel rather than how people react to them.
Where this sits in the catalog
At 0.504%, Casus Belli sits above the 50th percentile of the 213,004 accounts in this comparison. That places it in the above the median band, which runs 0.147% to 0.698%.
Show the percentile table
| Percentile | Engagement rate |
|---|---|
| 10th percentile | 0.004% |
| 25th percentile | 0.025% |
| 50th percentile | 0.147% |
| 75th percentile | 0.698% |
| 90th percentile | 2.61% |
| 99th percentile | 82.8% |
This ruler is the whole measured catalog, not a size-matched group: it shows where the raw rate falls across every account we can measure, all of which are large. For a like-for-like comparison, read the size-band percentile above instead. See how the bands are built
Posting timing
This account posts most often around 12:00 UTC, and Wednesday is its busiest day of the week. The bars below are the catalog-wide pattern, with this account's own busiest slot marked. They do not show how this account performs at each hour: we keep one aggregate per account, not one per hour, so that measurement does not exist in our data.
Show engagement by hour posted, utc as a table
| Hour (UTC) | Vs author median | Posts |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 UTC | -1% | 89K |
| 01:00 UTC | -2% | 90K |
| 02:00 UTC | -3% | 88K |
| 03:00 UTC | -4% | 94K |
| 04:00 UTC | -5% | 76K |
| 05:00 UTC | -4% | 75K |
| 06:00 UTC | -5% | 86K |
| 07:00 UTC | -5% | 93K |
| 08:00 UTC | -4% | 108K |
| 09:00 UTC | -4% | 124K |
| 10:00 UTC | -3% | 129K |
| 11:00 UTC | -3% | 141K |
| 12:00 UTC | -3% | 154K |
| 13:00 UTC | -3% | 167K |
| 14:00 UTC | -4% | 173K |
| 15:00 UTC | -2% | 176K |
| 16:00 UTC | -3% | 171K |
| 17:00 UTC | -3% | 159K |
| 18:00 UTC | -2% | 149K |
| 19:00 UTC | -2% | 141K |
| 20:00 UTC | -1% | 131K |
| 21:00 UTC | 0% | 116K |
| 22:00 UTC | -2% | 100K |
| 23:00 UTC | -1% | 90K |
Show engagement by day of week as a table
| Day | Vs author median | Posts |
|---|---|---|
| Sunday | +5% | 393K |
| Monday | +1% | 483K |
| Tuesday | -2% | 520K |
| Wednesday | -3% | 472K |
| Thursday | -2% | 430K |
| Friday | -3% | 447K |
| Saturday | +2% | 393K |
Formats this account uses
Its own posting mix on the left, and what each of those formats does across every account we track on the right. Only formats where the effect clears our publish test appear here, so an empty row is a format we could not measure rather than one that does nothing.
| Format | This account | Catalog effect | 95% interval | Accounts behind it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Image or video | 57% of posts | +111% | +108% to +115% | 34K |
| Outbound link | 36% of posts | -41% | -42% to -40% | 32K |
| Typical length | - | +15% | +14% to +16% | 32K |
- 57% of this account's sampled posts carry an image or video. Across the catalog, posts with an image or video run 111% above the same accounts' other posts.
- 36% of its posts carry a link off X. Across the catalog, posts with an outbound link run 41% below the same accounts' other posts.
- Its average post runs 294 characters, which falls in the over 280 characters band. Across the catalog, posts over 280 characters run 15% above the same accounts' other posts.
These are catalog-wide differences applied to this account's own posting mix, not a measurement of how each format performs for this account specifically. We keep one median per account, not one per format per account, so the second thing is not something this data can tell you.
Best tweets
- Oct 1, 202621x their median
This is deeply disturbing: Anthropic secretly invited religious leaders to SF to advise them on AI safety, had them sign NDAs, but then primarily tried to convince them Claude has a soul & moral standing, all while wining & dining them to the max. 1/ https://t.co/4Z7Yk9rwk2
- Sep 20, 202617x their median
Quand on a débarqué à l'ONU en 2003 pour écrire un moment dans les livres d'histoire https://t.co/8UU28RBVKn
- Sep 2, 202614x their median
Bessent blames Ukraine for high gas prices: "Ukraine has decided that they want to blow up Russian energy assets and refined products, so that is creating upward price pressure on a global basis" https://t.co/kWyzIBvAvF
- Sep 30, 202613x their median
Une alerte passe presque inaperçue dans le débat public : hier après-midi, la France a emprunté à près de 4,8 % à dix ans, contre 3,5 % il y a un an. Il faut remonter à 2008 pour retrouver un tel niveau. Les tensions énergétiques poussent les taux à la hausse dans de nombreux pays. En France, l’incertitude politique à l’approche de la présidentielle ajoute à cette pression. N’ajoutons pas de l’instabilité à ces difficultés. Davantage d’intérêts à payer, c’est moins de moyens pour les priorités du pays. Cette réalité s’impose à tous : Gouvernement, Parlement, candidats à la présidentielle. Le réel nous rattrape. Le Gouvernement présentera en Conseil des ministres un budget de redressement. Nous serons à la disposition de chacun pour construire les compromis nécessaires et aboutir. La France a besoin de décisions et de perspectives. L’intérêt général nous oblige.
- Oct 1, 202610x their median
The European Commission has rolled out an alternative to Microsoft Teams. But officials using it aren't impressed, with one describing the tool as “absolute shit.” https://t.co/WbVwHQ29RP
- Sep 1, 20265.2x their median
Global Bond Yields hit highest level since the Global Financial Crisis 🚨 https://t.co/Sia55UJwse
- Aug 29, 20264.2x their median
NEW!! Estonia’s spy chief: ‘Russia is in a very bad place – revolution could come overnight’ https://t.co/SYahaEUCmI
- Dec 23, 20223.4x their median
🇲🇱🇨🇫🇷🇺| 🧵 THREAD: Wagner’s alleged bases in Mali and Central African Republic. Starting with the the first fully built one, seen at Bamako airport. The base is spontaneously built at the end of 2021, at the same time as Wagner's arrival is reported. https://t.co/SumEeyZ5wL
- Sep 22, 20262.9x their median
! Scoop ! We have obtained hundreds of thousands of files from inside the Kremlin-backed fintech company A7, supposedly set up as an alternative to the western SWIFT system. 1/3 Kremlin-backed forgery scheme moved $6.9bn through global banks https://t.co/uftFB1g5mg via @ft
- Sep 1, 20261.5x their median
MAP: Russia "Hybrid War" on NATO 2026 Update: 01/SEP/2026 An update to my earlier map of the NATO-Russia confrontation/ongoing incidents for 2026, including 3 new incidents reported in the last 48hrs across Germany, Poland and Romania. h/t @InsiderGeo @Faytuks
Ranked by total interactions across everything we have tracked for this account, which is a longer history than the 30-day window the rates above use. The multiple compares each post to this account's own median.
Recurring topics
The most frequent hashtags in the sampled posts. They describe what this account writes about; they are not a performance signal, and the catalog-wide breakdown on the hub shows how little hashtag count moves.
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Reading these numbers
A typical post picks up 434 interactions against 86K followers, an engagement rate of 0.504%. Measured over 14 original posts, its engagement rate beats 79% of 21,185 tracked accounts of a similar size. Comparing inside a size band matters here: engagement rate falls as accounts grow, so a raw rate would mostly just re-measure the follower count. Posts are seen about 88K times each, and 0.494% of those impressions turn into an interaction. That is about 101.8% of the follower count, which is the gap between an audience on paper and an audience in a timeline. Posting runs at about 2.5 posts a day over the last 30 days, with activity on roughly 50% of days. Most posts go out around 12:00 UTC, and Wednesday is the busiest day of the week. Of the 14 posts sampled, 57% carry an image or video, 7% are part of a thread and 36% link out. The account's strongest tracked post pulled 9.0K interactions, about 21x its own typical post. Recurring topics include #mali, #dioura, #kayes.
- What is Casus Belli's engagement rate on X?
- Casus Belli (@casusbellii) has an engagement rate of 0.504%, based on the median interactions across 14 original posts from the last 30 days against 86,272 followers. Replies, reposts and quote-posts of other people are excluded from that sample.
- Is that a good engagement rate?
- At 0.504%, Casus Belli sits above the 50th percentile of the 213,004 accounts in this comparison. Those comparison accounts are all large ones, because our scanning cadence is weighted towards big accounts, so this is a ranking among peers of similar scale rather than a ranking across X.
- Does @casusbellii have real engagement?
- Its engagement rate beats 79% of the tracked X accounts closest to it in follower count (21,185 accounts), which puts it in the top quarter for its size group. Ranking inside a size band matters because engagement rate falls as accounts grow, so a raw rate would mostly re-measure the follower count. It is a starting point for a look at follower quality, not a verdict on it.
- When does @casusbellii post?
- Most posts go out around 12:00 UTC, and Wednesday is its busiest day, at roughly 2.47 posts per day across the measured window.