THE SHORT BEAR engagement report
@TheShortBear - 208K followers on X
Measured over 16 original posts from a 30-day window, last computed on October 6, 2026.
Engagement
A typical post picks up 208 interactions against 208K followers, an engagement rate of 0.1%. Measured over 16 original posts, its engagement rate beats 59% of 20,444 tracked accounts of a similar size, which puts it in the middle of its size range rather than at either end. Posts are seen about 36K times each, and 0.572% of those impressions turn into an interaction. That is about 17.5% of the follower count, which is the gap between an audience on paper and an audience in a timeline. Posting runs at about 3.7 posts a day over the last 30 days, though only 30% of days saw any activity at all. Most posts go out around 15:00 UTC, and Thursday is the busiest day of the week. Of the 16 posts sampled, 75% carry an image or video, 25% are part of a thread and 6% link out. The account's strongest tracked post pulled 2.3K interactions, about 11x its own typical post.
Measured over 16 original posts from a 30-day window, last computed on October 6, 2026.
Compared with accounts its own size
THE SHORT BEAR's engagement rate beats 59% of the tracked X accounts closest to it in follower count (20,444 accounts, accounts of similar size (decile 9 of 10)). A percentile is spread evenly by construction, so 50 really is the middle of that group and 90 really is its top tenth.
On engagement per impression rather than per follower it beats 29% of the same group. When those two numbers disagree, the gap is about how far its posts travel rather than how people react to them.
Where this sits in the catalog
At 0.1%, THE SHORT BEAR sits above the 25th percentile of the 205,048 accounts in this comparison. That places it in the below the median band, which runs 0.024% to 0.143%.
Show the percentile table
| Percentile | Engagement rate |
|---|---|
| 10th percentile | 0.004% |
| 25th percentile | 0.024% |
| 50th percentile | 0.143% |
| 75th percentile | 0.678% |
| 90th percentile | 2.55% |
| 99th percentile | 82.4% |
This ruler is the whole measured catalog, not a size-matched group: it shows where the raw rate falls across every account we can measure, all of which are large. For a like-for-like comparison, read the size-band percentile above instead. See how the bands are built
Posting timing
This account posts most often around 15:00 UTC, and Thursday is its busiest day of the week. The bars below are the catalog-wide pattern, with this account's own busiest slot marked. They do not show how this account performs at each hour: we keep one aggregate per account, not one per hour, so that measurement does not exist in our data.
Show engagement by hour posted, utc as a table
| Hour (UTC) | Vs author median | Posts |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 UTC | -1% | 89K |
| 01:00 UTC | -2% | 90K |
| 02:00 UTC | -3% | 88K |
| 03:00 UTC | -4% | 94K |
| 04:00 UTC | -5% | 76K |
| 05:00 UTC | -4% | 75K |
| 06:00 UTC | -5% | 86K |
| 07:00 UTC | -5% | 93K |
| 08:00 UTC | -4% | 108K |
| 09:00 UTC | -4% | 124K |
| 10:00 UTC | -3% | 129K |
| 11:00 UTC | -3% | 141K |
| 12:00 UTC | -3% | 154K |
| 13:00 UTC | -3% | 167K |
| 14:00 UTC | -4% | 173K |
| 15:00 UTC | -2% | 176K |
| 16:00 UTC | -3% | 171K |
| 17:00 UTC | -3% | 159K |
| 18:00 UTC | -2% | 149K |
| 19:00 UTC | -2% | 141K |
| 20:00 UTC | -1% | 131K |
| 21:00 UTC | 0% | 116K |
| 22:00 UTC | -2% | 100K |
| 23:00 UTC | -1% | 90K |
Show engagement by day of week as a table
| Day | Vs author median | Posts |
|---|---|---|
| Sunday | +5% | 393K |
| Monday | +1% | 483K |
| Tuesday | -2% | 520K |
| Wednesday | -3% | 472K |
| Thursday | -2% | 430K |
| Friday | -3% | 447K |
| Saturday | +2% | 393K |
Formats this account uses
Its own posting mix on the left, and what each of those formats does across every account we track on the right. Only formats where the effect clears our publish test appear here, so an empty row is a format we could not measure rather than one that does nothing.
| Format | This account | Catalog effect | 95% interval | Accounts behind it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Image or video | 75% of posts | +111% | +108% to +115% | 34K |
| Outbound link | 6% of posts | -41% | -42% to -40% | 32K |
| Typical length | - | +15% | +14% to +16% | 32K |
- 75% of this account's sampled posts carry an image or video. Across the catalog, posts with an image or video run 111% above the same accounts' other posts.
- 6% of its posts carry a link off X. Across the catalog, posts with an outbound link run 41% below the same accounts' other posts.
- Its average post runs 639 characters, which falls in the over 280 characters band. Across the catalog, posts over 280 characters run 15% above the same accounts' other posts.
These are catalog-wide differences applied to this account's own posting mix, not a measurement of how each format performs for this account specifically. We keep one median per account, not one per format per account, so the second thing is not something this data can tell you.
Best tweets
- Sep 11, 202611x their median
Google Might Have Achieved RSI - Around August, Google co-founder Sergey Brin was pushing resource allocation toward Recursive Self-Improvement (RSI) in Google/s AI efforts. - Google DeepMind is now near RSI, and they could announce it anytime. - For those who don't know, RSI basically means AI improving itself recursively, making each generation better at improving the next. - If they actually achieved this, this is SO HUGE. Finally, a major Google comeback could be coming. - And I believe the upcoming Gemini Pro model could come this month (September).
- Oct 4, 20264.6x their median
Given the recent bond moves, I spent some time trying to understand what is actually happening underneath the US Treasury market. The common narrative is that there are “no buyers” for US debt. That isn't quite right. The more interesting story is that the composition of the buyer base is changing at exactly the same time that the US needs to finance enormous amounts of debt. A thread on who is buying, who is selling, and why:
- Aug 20, 20263.5x their median
New blog! Pyramiding. An in-depth guide and strategy from a market wizard. The #1 topic I get asked about, and one of the most mischaracterized approaches in trading. The full approach: entry sequences, dynamic EV, sizing, exits, and the math behind it all. It took me a while to finish but we got it done. I look froward to all the comments and the discussions! https://t.co/MuBOPuRE7e
- May 8, 20262.4x their median
More sell-side firms and Fed watchers are removing/delaying cuts from their outlook, including a couple forecasters after the April NFP. Half now see no cuts this year (and risks are clearly tilted to this group continuing to grow given inertial nature of these forecasts). https://t.co/0rG6JF32OX
- Oct 3, 20262.5x their median
Another extreme reading on the NYSI, and it's still falling. Breadth is now more oversold than at the April 2026 bottom and the April 2025 low, and it's closing in on October 2023 levels. It's not far from the 2022 bear market lows either. For context, here's how far the S&P 500 fell in each of those periods: April 2026: -9% April 2025: -20% October 2023: -10%
- May 27, 20262.2x their median
Semis & AI “bottlenecks” are obviously where a lot of the excitement is right now, but it’s clear that over time, some of the biggest winners from AI will be medicine, whether it be through the impact AI has on drug discovery, diagnostics, treatment, or overall quality of care.
- Sep 11, 20262.2x their median
Take a deep breath Core CPI 0.29% Core Services 0.249 Super Core .51 The outlier : Education and Communication: highest reading in Bloomberg data set going back to 2012. https://t.co/lq5qYB3Z9p
- Oct 6, 2026
Retired. $ETHA https://t.co/wciWoHrePW
- Sep 10, 2026
A reason as to why Crypto and equities as a whole are holding so well is perhaps the dual nature of the recent Bessent-led buybacks on the long-end. If Oil continues and rates with it, Bessent will have to buy more than the $6b announced to even attempt suppression and yield control. We had $2b, followed by talks of $4b+, which became $6b quickly. Remember the comment that he 'is the house' and the '$1 Trillion treasury fund'... In these times walking back from such a message would be catastrophic and Bessent knows it. Meaning, either we see yields come down on positive war news or expect a bigger Bazooka to increase liquidity and suppress the long-end. In the end this leads to more printing and thus people hide in the best inflation hedges they can find... And that comes without mentioning the massive 1t+ deficit, the massive cost of the war, the $5k per vote Trump statement ($1.2T) and current CPI.
- Sep 10, 2026
$BWET represents the Tanker Shipping ETF. We just ran 50% without a single red day, into this massive gap. No volume exhaustion as of yet but goes to show the massive strain put on shipping and just how tense the situation currently is. We ran from 60s all the way to about $650 within 3 quarters.
Ranked by total interactions across everything we have tracked for this account, which is a longer history than the 30-day window the rates above use. The multiple compares each post to this account's own median.
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Reading these numbers
A typical post picks up 208 interactions against 208K followers, an engagement rate of 0.1%. Measured over 16 original posts, its engagement rate beats 59% of 20,444 tracked accounts of a similar size, which puts it in the middle of its size range rather than at either end. Posts are seen about 36K times each, and 0.572% of those impressions turn into an interaction. That is about 17.5% of the follower count, which is the gap between an audience on paper and an audience in a timeline. Posting runs at about 3.7 posts a day over the last 30 days, though only 30% of days saw any activity at all. Most posts go out around 15:00 UTC, and Thursday is the busiest day of the week. Of the 16 posts sampled, 75% carry an image or video, 25% are part of a thread and 6% link out. The account's strongest tracked post pulled 2.3K interactions, about 11x its own typical post.
- What is THE SHORT BEAR's engagement rate on X?
- THE SHORT BEAR (@TheShortBear) has an engagement rate of 0.1%, based on the median interactions across 16 original posts from the last 30 days against 207,598 followers. Replies, reposts and quote-posts of other people are excluded from that sample.
- Is that a good engagement rate?
- At 0.1%, THE SHORT BEAR sits above the 25th percentile of the 205,048 accounts in this comparison. Those comparison accounts are all large ones, because our scanning cadence is weighted towards big accounts, so this is a ranking among peers of similar scale rather than a ranking across X.
- Does @TheShortBear have real engagement?
- Its engagement rate beats 59% of the tracked X accounts closest to it in follower count (20,444 accounts), which puts it in the middle of its size range group. Ranking inside a size band matters because engagement rate falls as accounts grow, so a raw rate would mostly re-measure the follower count. It is a starting point for a look at follower quality, not a verdict on it.
- When does @TheShortBear post?
- Most posts go out around 15:00 UTC, and Thursday is its busiest day, at roughly 3.67 posts per day across the measured window.