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The Lincoln Project engagement report

@ProjectLincoln - 2.8M followers on X

Measured over 276 original posts from a 30-day window, last computed on October 25, 2026.

Engagement

Middle of its size range
Per follower
0.034%
of 2.8M followers
Per impression
1.71%
56K views on a typical post
Reach
1.98%
of its followers see a post
Typical post
957
interactions (median)
Saved
0.026%
14 bookmarks on a typical post
Posting rate
15.4/day
active 100% of days
Peak time
20:00 UTC
Tuesday

A typical post picks up 957 interactions against 2.8M followers, an engagement rate of 0.034%. Measured over 276 original posts, its engagement rate beats 53% of 20,444 tracked accounts of a similar size, which puts it in the middle of its size range rather than at either end. Posts are seen about 56K times each, and 1.71% of those impressions turn into an interaction. That is about 1.98% of the follower count, which is the gap between an audience on paper and an audience in a timeline. Posting runs at about 15.4 posts a day over the last 30 days, with activity on almost every day in the window. Most posts go out around 20:00 UTC, and Tuesday is the busiest day of the week. Of the 276 posts sampled, 82% carry an image or video and 42% link out. The account's strongest tracked post pulled 170K interactions, about 177x its own typical post. Recurring topics include #tlpn, #ia03, #iowasenate.

Measured over 276 original posts from a 30-day window, last computed on October 25, 2026. Recurring tags: #tlpn, #ia03, #iowasenate.

Compared with accounts its own size

The Lincoln Project's engagement rate beats 53% of the tracked X accounts closest to it in follower count (20,444 accounts, accounts of similar size (decile 10 of 10)). A percentile is spread evenly by construction, so 50 really is the middle of that group and 90 really is its top tenth.

On engagement per impression rather than per follower it beats 62% of the same group. When those two numbers disagree, the gap is about how far its posts travel rather than how people react to them.

Where this sits in the catalog

At 0.034%, The Lincoln Project sits above the 25th percentile of the 204,694 accounts in this comparison. That places it in the below the median band, which runs 0.024% to 0.143%.

p100.004%
p250.024%
p50 (median)0.143%
p750.677%
p902.55%
p9982.4%
Engagement rate as a share of followers, across the 204,694 accounts we have scanned enough to measure. The axis is logarithmic, because the top and bottom of this population are about 22,880 times apart and a linear axis would flatten everything below the median into a single point.
Show the percentile table
Engagement rate percentiles
PercentileEngagement rate
10th percentile0.004%
25th percentile0.024%
50th percentile0.143%
75th percentile0.677%
90th percentile2.55%
99th percentile82.4%

This ruler is the whole measured catalog, not a size-matched group: it shows where the raw rate falls across every account we can measure, all of which are large. For a like-for-like comparison, read the size-band percentile above instead. See how the bands are built

Posting timing

This account posts most often around 20:00 UTC, and Tuesday is its busiest day of the week. The bars below are the catalog-wide pattern, with this account's own busiest slot marked. They do not show how this account performs at each hour: we keep one aggregate per account, not one per hour, so that measurement does not exist in our data.

Engagement by hour posted, UTCTwenty-four bars, one per UTC hour. Each bar shows how posts published in that hour compare with their own authors' median engagement. Bars above the centre line ran higher than the median, bars below ran lower. A marker flags Busiest hour: 20:00 UTC.
0003060912151821
Above the authors' own mediansBelowScale: plus or minus 111%Busiest hour: 20:00 UTC
Show engagement by hour posted, utc as a table
Engagement by hour posted, UTC
Hour (UTC)Vs author medianPosts
00:00 UTC-1%89K
01:00 UTC-2%90K
02:00 UTC-3%88K
03:00 UTC-4%94K
04:00 UTC-5%76K
05:00 UTC-4%75K
06:00 UTC-5%86K
07:00 UTC-5%93K
08:00 UTC-4%108K
09:00 UTC-4%124K
10:00 UTC-3%129K
11:00 UTC-3%141K
12:00 UTC-3%154K
13:00 UTC-3%167K
14:00 UTC-4%173K
15:00 UTC-2%176K
16:00 UTC-3%171K
17:00 UTC-3%159K
18:00 UTC-2%149K
19:00 UTC-2%141K
20:00 UTC-1%131K
21:00 UTC0%116K
22:00 UTC-2%100K
23:00 UTC-1%90K
Engagement by day of weekSeven bars, one per weekday, Sunday first. Each bar shows how posts published on that day compare with their own authors' median engagement. Bars above the centre line ran higher than the median, bars below ran lower. A marker flags Busiest day: Tuesday.
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Above the authors' own mediansBelowScale: plus or minus 111%Busiest day: Tuesday
Show engagement by day of week as a table
Engagement by day of week
DayVs author medianPosts
Sunday+5%393K
Monday+1%483K
Tuesday-2%520K
Wednesday-3%472K
Thursday-2%430K
Friday-3%447K
Saturday+2%393K
See what moves engagement across the whole catalogWhat counts as a good engagement rate at this size

Formats this account uses

Its own posting mix on the left, and what each of those formats does across every account we track on the right. Only formats where the effect clears our publish test appear here, so an empty row is a format we could not measure rather than one that does nothing.

This account's posting mix compared with catalog-wide effects
FormatThis accountCatalog effect95% intervalAccounts behind it
Image or video82% of posts+111%+108% to +115%34K
Outbound link42% of posts-41%-42% to -40%32K
Typical length--3%-3% to -2%54K
  • 82% of this account's sampled posts carry an image or video. Across the catalog, posts with an image or video run 111% above the same accounts' other posts.
  • 42% of its posts carry a link off X. Across the catalog, posts with an outbound link run 41% below the same accounts' other posts, so a large share of this account's output sits in the weakest bucket we measure.
  • Its average post runs 166 characters, which falls in the 80 - 180 characters band. Across the catalog, posts of 80 to 180 characters run 3% below the same accounts' other posts.

These are catalog-wide differences applied to this account's own posting mix, not a measurement of how each format performs for this account specifically. We keep one median per account, not one per format per account, so the second thing is not something this data can tell you.

Best tweets

  • Oct 3, 2026177x their median

    FOR THE FRAUDSTERS! https://t.co/ZVV7ZYDAey

    131K22K14K2.1K14M viewsView on X
  • Oct 4, 2026106x their median

    You cannot accidentally do this much Nazi shit. https://t.co/k3ObloXmaw

    90K8.6K2.0K4544.1M viewsView on X
  • Oct 20, 202691x their median

    https://t.co/QOadUNGv2u

    75K10K1.8K1.1K6.0M viewsView on X
  • Feb 21, 202578x their median

    President Trump just endorsed Byron Donalds for Governor of Florida. Massive. Game over. https://t.co/pNiSXld1Ds

    76K7.5K1.8K3073.3M viewsView on X
  • Jul 17, 202043x their median

    The billionaire's daughter is telling unemployed Americans to "find something new." Thanks for the advice, Ivanka. https://t.co/zphGmOJOgQ

    53K21K3.6K7.9KView on X
  • Aug 17, 202665x their median

    JUST IN: Donald Trump says “it’s none of your business” when asked how Barron Trump’s net worth increased $150,000,000 in a year.

    52K8.6K8606915.8M viewsView on X
  • Aug 25, 202647x their median

    Weird how Trump knew nothing about Project 2025 but somehow has implemented almost 85% of it.

    37K7.3K360122437K viewsView on X
  • Sep 15, 202646x their median

    Republican Rep. Thomas Massie reads articles of impeachment against Pete Hegseth. About. Damn. Time. https://t.co/avYudbujpX

    37K6.1K637162609K viewsView on X
  • Sep 21, 202646x their median

    Well, it's finally happened. Trump has hit 29% approval rating. America hates Trump.

    38K4.8K976180434K viewsView on X
  • Oct 12, 202645x their median

    Trump didn't do all this damage on his own. He had help from the entire Republican Party. Make all of them pay at the ballot box on November 3rd.

    34K8.1K478188225K viewsView on X

Ranked by total interactions across everything we have tracked for this account, which is a longer history than the 30-day window the rates above use. The multiple compares each post to this account's own median.

Recurring topics

#tlpn#ia03#iowasenate#mepol#mi07

The most frequent hashtags in the sampled posts. They describe what this account writes about; they are not a performance signal, and the catalog-wide breakdown on the hub shows how little hashtag count moves.

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Reading these numbers

A typical post picks up 957 interactions against 2.8M followers, an engagement rate of 0.034%. Measured over 276 original posts, its engagement rate beats 53% of 20,444 tracked accounts of a similar size, which puts it in the middle of its size range rather than at either end. Posts are seen about 56K times each, and 1.71% of those impressions turn into an interaction. That is about 1.98% of the follower count, which is the gap between an audience on paper and an audience in a timeline. Posting runs at about 15.4 posts a day over the last 30 days, with activity on almost every day in the window. Most posts go out around 20:00 UTC, and Tuesday is the busiest day of the week. Of the 276 posts sampled, 82% carry an image or video and 42% link out. The account's strongest tracked post pulled 170K interactions, about 177x its own typical post. Recurring topics include #tlpn, #ia03, #iowasenate.

What is The Lincoln Project's engagement rate on X?
The Lincoln Project (@ProjectLincoln) has an engagement rate of 0.034%, based on the median interactions across 276 original posts from the last 30 days against 2,836,164 followers. Replies, reposts and quote-posts of other people are excluded from that sample.
Is that a good engagement rate?
At 0.034%, The Lincoln Project sits above the 25th percentile of the 204,694 accounts in this comparison. Those comparison accounts are all large ones, because our scanning cadence is weighted towards big accounts, so this is a ranking among peers of similar scale rather than a ranking across X.
Does @ProjectLincoln have real engagement?
Its engagement rate beats 53% of the tracked X accounts closest to it in follower count (20,444 accounts), which puts it in the middle of its size range group. Ranking inside a size band matters because engagement rate falls as accounts grow, so a raw rate would mostly re-measure the follower count. It is a starting point for a look at follower quality, not a verdict on it.
When does @ProjectLincoln post?
Most posts go out around 20:00 UTC, and Tuesday is its busiest day, at roughly 15.4 posts per day across the measured window.

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