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Nate Silver engagement report

@NateSilver538 - 3.0M followers on X

Measured over 70 original posts from a 30-day window, last computed on September 1, 2026.

Engagement

Middle of its size range
Per follower
0.019%
of 3.0M followers
Per impression
0.302%
194K views on a typical post
Reach
6.38%
of its followers see a post
Typical post
586
interactions (median)
Saved
0.025%
48 bookmarks on a typical post
Posting rate
5.6/day
active 87% of days
Peak time
19:00 UTC
Wednesday

A typical post picks up 586 interactions against 3.0M followers, an engagement rate of 0.019%. Measured over 70 original posts, its engagement rate beats 57% of 3,758 tracked accounts of a similar size, which puts it in the middle of its size range rather than at either end. Posts are seen about 194K times each, and 0.302% of those impressions turn into an interaction. That is about 6.38% of the follower count, which is the gap between an audience on paper and an audience in a timeline. Posting runs at about 5.6 posts a day over the last 30 days, with activity on almost every day in the window. Most posts go out around 19:00 UTC, and Wednesday is the busiest day of the week. Of the 70 posts sampled, 31% carry an image or video, 36% are part of a thread and 23% link out. The account's strongest tracked post pulled 27K interactions, about 46x its own typical post.

Measured over 70 original posts from a 30-day window, last computed on September 1, 2026.

Compared with accounts its own size

Nate Silver's engagement rate beats 57% of the tracked X accounts closest to it in follower count (3,758 accounts, accounts of similar size (decile 10 of 10)). A percentile is spread evenly by construction, so 50 really is the middle of that group and 90 really is its top tenth.

On engagement per impression rather than per follower it beats 27% of the same group. When those two numbers disagree, the gap is about how far its posts travel rather than how people react to them.

Where this sits in the catalog

At 0.019%, Nate Silver sits above the 25th percentile of the 36,378 accounts in this comparison. That places it in the below the median band, which runs 0.012% to 0.08%.

p100.002%
p250.012%
p50 (median)0.08%
p750.432%
p902.10%
p99161.0%
Engagement rate as a share of followers, across the 36,378 accounts we have scanned enough to measure. The axis is logarithmic, because the top and bottom of this population are about 107,364 times apart and a linear axis would flatten everything below the median into a single point.
Show the percentile table
Engagement rate percentiles
PercentileEngagement rate
10th percentile0.002%
25th percentile0.012%
50th percentile0.08%
75th percentile0.432%
90th percentile2.10%
99th percentile161.0%

This ruler is the whole measured catalog, not a size-matched group: it shows where the raw rate falls across every account we can measure, all of which are large. For a like-for-like comparison, read the size-band percentile above instead. See how the bands are built

Posting timing

This account posts most often around 19:00 UTC, and Wednesday is its busiest day of the week. The bars below are the catalog-wide pattern, with this account's own busiest slot marked. They do not show how this account performs at each hour: we keep one aggregate per account, not one per hour, so that measurement does not exist in our data.

Engagement by hour posted, UTCTwenty-four bars, one per UTC hour. Each bar shows how posts published in that hour compare with their own authors' median engagement. Bars above the centre line ran higher than the median, bars below ran lower. A marker flags Busiest hour: 19:00 UTC.
0003060912151821
Above the authors' own mediansBelowScale: plus or minus 6%Busiest hour: 19:00 UTC
Show engagement by hour posted, utc as a table
Engagement by hour posted, UTC
Hour (UTC)Vs author medianPosts
00:00 UTC-1%50K
01:00 UTC-2%51K
02:00 UTC-3%50K
03:00 UTC-4%53K
04:00 UTC-6%43K
05:00 UTC-4%42K
06:00 UTC-4%48K
07:00 UTC-5%52K
08:00 UTC-4%60K
09:00 UTC-3%69K
10:00 UTC-2%72K
11:00 UTC-3%78K
12:00 UTC-2%86K
13:00 UTC-2%94K
14:00 UTC-4%97K
15:00 UTC-2%100K
16:00 UTC-3%97K
17:00 UTC-2%90K
18:00 UTC-1%84K
19:00 UTC-2%79K
20:00 UTC-1%74K
21:00 UTC-1%66K
22:00 UTC-2%57K
23:00 UTC-2%51K
Engagement by day of weekSeven bars, one per weekday, Sunday first. Each bar shows how posts published on that day compare with their own authors' median engagement. Bars above the centre line ran higher than the median, bars below ran lower. A marker flags Busiest day: Wednesday.
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Above the authors' own mediansBelowScale: plus or minus 5%Busiest day: Wednesday
Show engagement by day of week as a table
Engagement by day of week
DayVs author medianPosts
Sunday+4%230K
Monday0%286K
Tuesday-2%276K
Wednesday-1%251K
Thursday-1%244K
Friday-3%252K
Saturday+3%227K
See what moves engagement across the whole catalogWhat counts as a good engagement rate at this size

Best tweets

  • Aug 7, 202646x their median

    BREAKING: Kawhi Leonard had a hidden, multimillion-dollar "sponsorship" with Clippers' scoreboard-maker, sources tell @PabloTorre. "It was 1,000% a way to circumvent the salary cap," insider says. In our investigation, Daktronics' Ballmer-linked crisis firm raises NBA probe ⤵️ https://t.co/LU1AeBAF44

    22K2.5K7921.7K8.4M viewsView on X
  • Aug 3, 202628x their median

    Leaked memo shows Republicans privately see Francesca Hong as "uniquely dangerous" in the general election & that “more moderate and establishment Democratic alternatives would likely produce lower base motivation and depressed turnout": https://t.co/vQRDU8hxox

    14K2.2K3672791.9M viewsView on X
  • Aug 27, 202616x their median

    Gulf of America didn't even bother me so much but Lake America sounds like a waterslide park where everyone gets tetanus.

    8.7K47125339393K viewsView on X
  • Aug 5, 202615x their median

    Michigan has open primaries. Mike Rogers had the nomination locked. How many Republicans voted for Stevens?

    8.2K32034599514K viewsView on X
  • Aug 17, 202612x their median

    Rare unironic life advice. It can be great for many people but if you're on the fence about whether to go to some sort of graduate school, i.e. you don't have something fairly specific you're trying to accomplish, probably don't. A much worse value proposition than 20 years ago.

    6.7K2281391051.0M viewsView on X
  • Aug 5, 20267.7x their median

    The vibes on Abdul El-Sayed twitter would be a lot different right now if there hadn’t been a week of polling priming everyone for a blowout. Nothing in the race has actually gone that horrible for him yet, he’s just not getting “double digit mandate” numbers.

    4.3K1423916579K viewsView on X
  • Aug 9, 20266.7x their median

    Much has been said about a "downwardly-mobile educated class" powering progressive candidates, and Michigan makes it about as clear as it gets. https://t.co/ucwuAQvGRc

    3.5K3167563579K viewsView on X
  • Aug 17, 20265.3x their median

    As suspected, that last minute Hong +23 poll from that mysterious polling organization turned out to be literally a fake poll as part of a social experiment! https://t.co/VwgxwLcU70

    2.8K1762458381K viewsView on X
  • Aug 12, 20265.1x their median

    Hong might come back, but wtf is up with these primary polls? https://t.co/sPdEhG2Iyl

    2.5K1242841091.1M viewsView on X
  • Aug 19, 20265.1x their median

    OK, model updated! We have good news and bad news, depending on which party you're rooting for. The good news for Dems: El-Sayed is now ahead in our Michigan polling average. https://t.co/qOO4pVAQRk

    2.6K16120629560K viewsView on X

Ranked by total interactions across everything we have tracked for this account, which is a longer history than the 30-day window the rates above use. The multiple compares each post to this account's own median.

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Reading these numbers

A typical post picks up 586 interactions against 3.0M followers, an engagement rate of 0.019%. Measured over 70 original posts, its engagement rate beats 57% of 3,758 tracked accounts of a similar size, which puts it in the middle of its size range rather than at either end. Posts are seen about 194K times each, and 0.302% of those impressions turn into an interaction. That is about 6.38% of the follower count, which is the gap between an audience on paper and an audience in a timeline. Posting runs at about 5.6 posts a day over the last 30 days, with activity on almost every day in the window. Most posts go out around 19:00 UTC, and Wednesday is the busiest day of the week. Of the 70 posts sampled, 31% carry an image or video, 36% are part of a thread and 23% link out. The account's strongest tracked post pulled 27K interactions, about 46x its own typical post.

What is Nate Silver's engagement rate on X?
Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) has an engagement rate of 0.019%, based on the median interactions across 70 original posts from the last 30 days against 3,040,211 followers. Replies, reposts and quote-posts of other people are excluded from that sample.
Is that a good engagement rate?
At 0.019%, Nate Silver sits above the 25th percentile of the 36,378 accounts in this comparison. Those comparison accounts are all large ones, because our scanning cadence is weighted towards big accounts, so this is a ranking among peers of similar scale rather than a ranking across X.
Does @NateSilver538 have real engagement?
Its engagement rate beats 57% of the tracked X accounts closest to it in follower count (3,758 accounts), which puts it in the middle of its size range group. Ranking inside a size band matters because engagement rate falls as accounts grow, so a raw rate would mostly re-measure the follower count. It is a starting point for a look at follower quality, not a verdict on it.
When does @NateSilver538 post?
Most posts go out around 19:00 UTC, and Wednesday is its busiest day, at roughly 5.6 posts per day across the measured window.

Keep going

Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) Engagement Rate - 0.019% | PlayerSells