Michael Kofman engagement report
@KofmanMichael - 436K followers on X
Measured over 8 original posts from a 30-day window, last computed on August 30, 2026.
Engagement
A typical post picks up 202 interactions against 436K followers, an engagement rate of 0.046%. Measured over 8 original posts, its engagement rate beats 55% of 3,792 tracked accounts of a similar size, which puts it in the middle of its size range rather than at either end. Posts are seen about 77K times each, and 0.26% of those impressions turn into an interaction. That is about 17.8% of the follower count, which is the gap between an audience on paper and an audience in a timeline. Posting runs at about 2.3 posts a day over the last 30 days, with activity on roughly 57% of days. Most posts go out around 16:00 UTC, and Tuesday is the busiest day of the week. Of the 8 posts sampled, 50% carry an image or video, 13% are part of a thread and 63% link out. The account's strongest tracked post pulled 4.2K interactions, about 21x its own typical post.
Measured over 8 original posts from a 30-day window, last computed on August 30, 2026.
Compared with accounts its own size
Michael Kofman's engagement rate beats 55% of the tracked X accounts closest to it in follower count (3,792 accounts, accounts of similar size (decile 7 of 10)). A percentile is spread evenly by construction, so 50 really is the middle of that group and 90 really is its top tenth.
On engagement per impression rather than per follower it beats 21% of the same group. When those two numbers disagree, the gap is about how far its posts travel rather than how people react to them.
Where this sits in the catalog
At 0.046%, Michael Kofman sits above the 25th percentile of the 36,759 accounts in this comparison. That places it in the below the median band, which runs 0.012% to 0.08%.
Show the percentile table
| Percentile | Engagement rate |
|---|---|
| 10th percentile | 0.002% |
| 25th percentile | 0.012% |
| 50th percentile | 0.08% |
| 75th percentile | 0.434% |
| 90th percentile | 2.10% |
| 99th percentile | 160.4% |
This ruler is the whole measured catalog, not a size-matched group: it shows where the raw rate falls across every account we can measure, all of which are large. For a like-for-like comparison, read the size-band percentile above instead. See how the bands are built
Posting timing
This account posts most often around 16:00 UTC, and Tuesday is its busiest day of the week. The bars below are the catalog-wide pattern, with this account's own busiest slot marked. They do not show how this account performs at each hour: we keep one aggregate per account, not one per hour, so that measurement does not exist in our data.
Show engagement by hour posted, utc as a table
| Hour (UTC) | Vs author median | Posts |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 UTC | -1% | 51K |
| 01:00 UTC | -2% | 52K |
| 02:00 UTC | -3% | 50K |
| 03:00 UTC | -4% | 54K |
| 04:00 UTC | -6% | 43K |
| 05:00 UTC | -4% | 42K |
| 06:00 UTC | -4% | 48K |
| 07:00 UTC | -5% | 52K |
| 08:00 UTC | -4% | 61K |
| 09:00 UTC | -3% | 70K |
| 10:00 UTC | -2% | 72K |
| 11:00 UTC | -3% | 79K |
| 12:00 UTC | -2% | 87K |
| 13:00 UTC | -3% | 95K |
| 14:00 UTC | -4% | 98K |
| 15:00 UTC | -2% | 101K |
| 16:00 UTC | -4% | 99K |
| 17:00 UTC | -2% | 91K |
| 18:00 UTC | -1% | 85K |
| 19:00 UTC | -1% | 80K |
| 20:00 UTC | -1% | 75K |
| 21:00 UTC | -1% | 66K |
| 22:00 UTC | -2% | 58K |
| 23:00 UTC | -2% | 52K |
Show engagement by day of week as a table
| Day | Vs author median | Posts |
|---|---|---|
| Sunday | +4% | 232K |
| Monday | 0% | 290K |
| Tuesday | -2% | 281K |
| Wednesday | -1% | 252K |
| Thursday | -2% | 245K |
| Friday | -3% | 254K |
| Saturday | +3% | 228K |
Best tweets
- Aug 26, 202621x their median
Vibecoding explained https://t.co/1J2tu7qgrA
- Aug 25, 20262.6x their median
Russia’s armed forces have moved decisively away from their previous reliance on overwhelming volumes of artillery fire and towards a more precision-led approach to strike warfare in Ukraine. Our latest paper by Dr Sidharth Kaushal and @Sam_Cranny presents a detailed account of how Russia’s precision strike capabilities have evolved, from a chaotic and under-resourced opening campaign to a more potent precision strike capability. Read the paper: https://t.co/MyZaDbbybL
- Aug 25, 20261.9x their median
I had a great time recording this podcast on The Hunt for Red October. We talk about what the film gets right, what it might have wrong, how it portrays this time period, and the work of analysts. If you’re a fan have a listen. @WarOnTheRocks https://t.co/SIdW2EfbeG
- Aug 18, 2026
The latest Russia Contingency is out. I’m joined by @MassDara to talk about our recent field study in Ukraine. We cover insights gained from visiting the front, tactics, tech, the situation with air defense, and ongoing strike campaigns. @WarOnTheRocks https://t.co/zG7hHnb72k
- Aug 26, 2026
NEW NATO boss Mark Rutte meets Elbridge Colby in BRX tomorrow. https://t.co/kY7yctZftH
- Aug 24, 2026
New WOTR podcast is out with @EvansRyan202 and @MassDara. We cover quite a bit in this one: battlefield dynamics, strike campaigns, air defense, UA leadership changes and more. Open to all. @WarOnTheRocks https://t.co/Xnt5Fv46jp
- Aug 10, 2026
Yesterday, Syria announced a deal that will see Russia's military facilities at Hmeymim and Tartus converted into "joint training and qualification centres” https://t.co/cuXLDuBm7Q A few preliminary thoughts 🧵
- Aug 18, 2026
Major release by the @CNA_org Russia Studies Program. Have you ever wondered what promotion & award patterns in the Russian military reveal about the evolution of the Russian military elite? 1/? https://t.co/3w1sarzL6l
Ranked by total interactions across everything we have tracked for this account, which is a longer history than the 30-day window the rates above use. The multiple compares each post to this account's own median.
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Reading these numbers
A typical post picks up 202 interactions against 436K followers, an engagement rate of 0.046%. Measured over 8 original posts, its engagement rate beats 55% of 3,792 tracked accounts of a similar size, which puts it in the middle of its size range rather than at either end. Posts are seen about 77K times each, and 0.26% of those impressions turn into an interaction. That is about 17.8% of the follower count, which is the gap between an audience on paper and an audience in a timeline. Posting runs at about 2.3 posts a day over the last 30 days, with activity on roughly 57% of days. Most posts go out around 16:00 UTC, and Tuesday is the busiest day of the week. Of the 8 posts sampled, 50% carry an image or video, 13% are part of a thread and 63% link out. The account's strongest tracked post pulled 4.2K interactions, about 21x its own typical post.
- What is Michael Kofman's engagement rate on X?
- Michael Kofman (@KofmanMichael) has an engagement rate of 0.046%, based on the median interactions across 8 original posts from the last 30 days against 435,931 followers. Replies, reposts and quote-posts of other people are excluded from that sample.
- Is that a good engagement rate?
- At 0.046%, Michael Kofman sits above the 25th percentile of the 36,759 accounts in this comparison. Those comparison accounts are all large ones, because our scanning cadence is weighted towards big accounts, so this is a ranking among peers of similar scale rather than a ranking across X.
- Does @KofmanMichael have real engagement?
- Its engagement rate beats 55% of the tracked X accounts closest to it in follower count (3,792 accounts), which puts it in the middle of its size range group. Ranking inside a size band matters because engagement rate falls as accounts grow, so a raw rate would mostly re-measure the follower count. It is a starting point for a look at follower quality, not a verdict on it.
- When does @KofmanMichael post?
- Most posts go out around 16:00 UTC, and Tuesday is its busiest day, at roughly 2.27 posts per day across the measured window.