Michael Kofman engagement report
@KofmanMichael - 436K followers on X
Measured over 11 original posts from a 30-day window, last computed on September 24, 2026.
Engagement
A typical post picks up 281 interactions against 436K followers, an engagement rate of 0.064%. Measured over 11 original posts, its engagement rate beats 64% of 19,932 tracked accounts of a similar size, which puts it in the middle of its size range rather than at either end. Posts are seen about 91K times each, and 0.308% of those impressions turn into an interaction. That is about 20.9% of the follower count, which is the gap between an audience on paper and an audience in a timeline. Posting runs at about 3.5 posts a day over the last 30 days, with activity on almost every day in the window. Most posts go out around 16:00 UTC, and Wednesday is the busiest day of the week. Of the 11 posts sampled, 64% carry an image or video, 9% are part of a thread and 55% link out. The account's strongest tracked post pulled 4.2K interactions, about 15x its own typical post.
Measured over 11 original posts from a 30-day window, last computed on September 24, 2026.
Compared with accounts its own size
Michael Kofman's engagement rate beats 64% of the tracked X accounts closest to it in follower count (19,932 accounts, accounts of similar size (decile 10 of 10)). A percentile is spread evenly by construction, so 50 really is the middle of that group and 90 really is its top tenth.
On engagement per impression rather than per follower it beats 22% of the same group. When those two numbers disagree, the gap is about how far its posts travel rather than how people react to them.
Where this sits in the catalog
At 0.064%, Michael Kofman sits above the 25th percentile of the 201,005 accounts in this comparison. That places it in the below the median band, which runs 0.024% to 0.141%.
Show the percentile table
| Percentile | Engagement rate |
|---|---|
| 10th percentile | 0.004% |
| 25th percentile | 0.024% |
| 50th percentile | 0.141% |
| 75th percentile | 0.671% |
| 90th percentile | 2.53% |
| 99th percentile | 82.4% |
This ruler is the whole measured catalog, not a size-matched group: it shows where the raw rate falls across every account we can measure, all of which are large. For a like-for-like comparison, read the size-band percentile above instead. See how the bands are built
Posting timing
This account posts most often around 16:00 UTC, and Wednesday is its busiest day of the week. The bars below are the catalog-wide pattern, with this account's own busiest slot marked. They do not show how this account performs at each hour: we keep one aggregate per account, not one per hour, so that measurement does not exist in our data.
Show engagement by hour posted, utc as a table
| Hour (UTC) | Vs author median | Posts |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 UTC | -1% | 89K |
| 01:00 UTC | -2% | 90K |
| 02:00 UTC | -3% | 88K |
| 03:00 UTC | -4% | 94K |
| 04:00 UTC | -5% | 76K |
| 05:00 UTC | -4% | 75K |
| 06:00 UTC | -5% | 86K |
| 07:00 UTC | -5% | 93K |
| 08:00 UTC | -4% | 108K |
| 09:00 UTC | -4% | 124K |
| 10:00 UTC | -3% | 129K |
| 11:00 UTC | -3% | 141K |
| 12:00 UTC | -3% | 154K |
| 13:00 UTC | -3% | 167K |
| 14:00 UTC | -4% | 173K |
| 15:00 UTC | -2% | 176K |
| 16:00 UTC | -3% | 171K |
| 17:00 UTC | -3% | 159K |
| 18:00 UTC | -2% | 149K |
| 19:00 UTC | -2% | 141K |
| 20:00 UTC | -1% | 131K |
| 21:00 UTC | 0% | 116K |
| 22:00 UTC | -2% | 100K |
| 23:00 UTC | -1% | 90K |
Show engagement by day of week as a table
| Day | Vs author median | Posts |
|---|---|---|
| Sunday | +5% | 393K |
| Monday | +1% | 483K |
| Tuesday | -2% | 520K |
| Wednesday | -3% | 472K |
| Thursday | -2% | 430K |
| Friday | -3% | 447K |
| Saturday | +2% | 393K |
Formats this account uses
Its own posting mix on the left, and what each of those formats does across every account we track on the right. Only formats where the effect clears our publish test appear here, so an empty row is a format we could not measure rather than one that does nothing.
| Format | This account | Catalog effect | 95% interval | Accounts behind it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Image or video | 64% of posts | +111% | +108% to +115% | 34K |
| Outbound link | 55% of posts | -41% | -42% to -40% | 32K |
| Typical length | - | +15% | +14% to +16% | 32K |
- 64% of this account's sampled posts carry an image or video. Across the catalog, posts with an image or video run 111% above the same accounts' other posts.
- 55% of its posts carry a link off X. Across the catalog, posts with an outbound link run 41% below the same accounts' other posts, so a large share of this account's output sits in the weakest bucket we measure.
- Its average post runs 307 characters, which falls in the over 280 characters band. Across the catalog, posts over 280 characters run 15% above the same accounts' other posts.
These are catalog-wide differences applied to this account's own posting mix, not a measurement of how each format performs for this account specifically. We keep one median per account, not one per format per account, so the second thing is not something this data can tell you.
Best tweets
- Aug 26, 202615x their median
Vibecoding explained https://t.co/1J2tu7qgrA
- Sep 12, 20265.6x their median
“Deep in Arctic waters near the remote Svalbard archipelago this spring, NATO allies caught Russian subs training to unleash a secret weapon designed to disable critical undersea cables without leaving any fingerprints. The clandestine Russian operation, described to Reuters by two Western officials, was carried out by Moscow's GUGI undersea warfare directorate, which used deep-sea submersibles to simulate the deployment of the sophisticated and destructive technology. A joint operation involving Britain, Norway and the United States tracked and confronted the Russian vessels at sea, said the two officials, speaking on condition of anonymity. The vessels were prevented from completing their exercise and eventually left the area.” https://t.co/OtvsqEvlfq
- Aug 25, 20261.8x their median
Russia’s armed forces have moved decisively away from their previous reliance on overwhelming volumes of artillery fire and towards a more precision-led approach to strike warfare in Ukraine. Our latest paper by Dr Sidharth Kaushal and @Sam_Cranny presents a detailed account of how Russia’s precision strike capabilities have evolved, from a chaotic and under-resourced opening campaign to a more potent precision strike capability. Read the paper: https://t.co/MyZaDbbybL
- Aug 25, 2026
I had a great time recording this podcast on The Hunt for Red October. We talk about what the film gets right, what it might have wrong, how it portrays this time period, and the work of analysts. If you’re a fan have a listen. @WarOnTheRocks https://t.co/SIdW2EfbeG
- Sep 4, 2026
Alabuga 2024/2025/2026 Systemic approach, something that Ukraine can't afford on such scale. https://t.co/SkiHTseqNf
- Sep 9, 2026
IEMZ "Kupol" has patented its modified jet-powered "Geran-4" – officially designated as an "Unmanned aerial vehicle with a turbojet power plant." The upgrades primarily involve the air intake and engine mounting, while the airframe modifications are already known. Another patented "development" by Kupol is a clone of the Iranian Shahed-101, which had already been announced back in 2025. It features minor differences from the Shahed-101 in wing attachment and other details.
- Sep 7, 2026
The latest episode of Russia Contingency is out. I check in with @Justin_Br0nk to compare views on the air war, Ukraine’s use of Western tactical aviation, air defense, the missile defense problem and more. @WarOnTheRocks This episode is live: https://t.co/yy68L72ML1
- Sep 18, 2026
Palantir’s CEO Karp: When I got to Ukraine on day 5, almost everyone thought it would lose. Look at what happened. Ukraine, Israel and the US systematically outperform on the battlefield where AI and advanced technologies are deployed. It's a major concern for China and Russia. https://t.co/nP1p6pRPTv
- Sep 1, 2026
Ukraine is reshaping command on the Donetsk front as Russian forces move within 7–10 km of Sloviansk and Ukrainian intelligence warns Moscow could mobilize another 300,000 people this year. Two new force groupings led by Andrii Biletskyi and Denys Prokopenko will oversee much of the region's defense. https://t.co/ljDFlmqB7y
- Sep 2, 2026
Good piece here on Code 9.2 and 1st Assault Regiment. Both units I have met with in the past. They are trying to innovate in technology, tactics, and force structure adaptions, seeking to return mobility to the battlefield. https://t.co/j0KLPGrkfu
Ranked by total interactions across everything we have tracked for this account, which is a longer history than the 30-day window the rates above use. The multiple compares each post to this account's own median.
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Reading these numbers
A typical post picks up 281 interactions against 436K followers, an engagement rate of 0.064%. Measured over 11 original posts, its engagement rate beats 64% of 19,932 tracked accounts of a similar size, which puts it in the middle of its size range rather than at either end. Posts are seen about 91K times each, and 0.308% of those impressions turn into an interaction. That is about 20.9% of the follower count, which is the gap between an audience on paper and an audience in a timeline. Posting runs at about 3.5 posts a day over the last 30 days, with activity on almost every day in the window. Most posts go out around 16:00 UTC, and Wednesday is the busiest day of the week. Of the 11 posts sampled, 64% carry an image or video, 9% are part of a thread and 55% link out. The account's strongest tracked post pulled 4.2K interactions, about 15x its own typical post.
- What is Michael Kofman's engagement rate on X?
- Michael Kofman (@KofmanMichael) has an engagement rate of 0.064%, based on the median interactions across 11 original posts from the last 30 days against 436,459 followers. Replies, reposts and quote-posts of other people are excluded from that sample.
- Is that a good engagement rate?
- At 0.064%, Michael Kofman sits above the 25th percentile of the 201,005 accounts in this comparison. Those comparison accounts are all large ones, because our scanning cadence is weighted towards big accounts, so this is a ranking among peers of similar scale rather than a ranking across X.
- Does @KofmanMichael have real engagement?
- Its engagement rate beats 64% of the tracked X accounts closest to it in follower count (19,932 accounts), which puts it in the middle of its size range group. Ranking inside a size band matters because engagement rate falls as accounts grow, so a raw rate would mostly re-measure the follower count. It is a starting point for a look at follower quality, not a verdict on it.
- When does @KofmanMichael post?
- Most posts go out around 16:00 UTC, and Wednesday is its busiest day, at roughly 3.5 posts per day across the measured window.