競馬予想家あやね|アガ理論[上がり3F×馬場×前走内容×騎手] engagement report
@222ayaneru - 117K followers on X
Measured over 19 original posts from a 30-day window, last computed on October 7, 2026.
Engagement
A typical post picks up 14 interactions against 117K followers, an engagement rate of 0.012%. Measured over 19 original posts, its engagement rate beats 22% of 20,444 tracked accounts of a similar size. That is a reason to look at how the audience behaves - reply depth, saves, whether the followers are recent - rather than a conclusion about it on its own. Posts are seen about 4.1K times each, and 0.338% of those impressions turn into an interaction. That is about 3.54% of the follower count, which is the gap between an audience on paper and an audience in a timeline. Posting runs at about 1.6 posts a day over the last 30 days, though only 10% of days saw any activity at all. Most posts go out around 02:00 UTC, and Wednesday is the busiest day of the week. Of the 19 posts sampled, 26% carry an image or video. The account's strongest tracked post pulled 759 interactions, about 54x its own typical post.
Measured over 19 original posts from a 30-day window, last computed on October 7, 2026.
Compared with accounts its own size
競馬予想家あやね|アガ理論[上がり3F×馬場×前走内容×騎手]'s engagement rate beats 22% of the tracked X accounts closest to it in follower count (20,444 accounts, accounts of similar size (decile 8 of 10)). A percentile is spread evenly by construction, so 50 really is the middle of that group and 90 really is its top tenth.
On engagement per impression rather than per follower it beats 18% of the same group. When those two numbers disagree, the gap is about how far its posts travel rather than how people react to them.
Where this sits in the catalog
At 0.012%, 競馬予想家あやね|アガ理論[上がり3F×馬場×前走内容×騎手] sits above the 10th percentile of the 205,475 accounts in this comparison. That places it in the bottom 25% band, which runs below 0.024%.
Show the percentile table
| Percentile | Engagement rate |
|---|---|
| 10th percentile | 0.004% |
| 25th percentile | 0.024% |
| 50th percentile | 0.143% |
| 75th percentile | 0.678% |
| 90th percentile | 2.55% |
| 99th percentile | 82.4% |
This ruler is the whole measured catalog, not a size-matched group: it shows where the raw rate falls across every account we can measure, all of which are large. For a like-for-like comparison, read the size-band percentile above instead. See how the bands are built
Posting timing
This account posts most often around 02:00 UTC, and Wednesday is its busiest day of the week. The bars below are the catalog-wide pattern, with this account's own busiest slot marked. They do not show how this account performs at each hour: we keep one aggregate per account, not one per hour, so that measurement does not exist in our data.
Show engagement by hour posted, utc as a table
| Hour (UTC) | Vs author median | Posts |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 UTC | -1% | 89K |
| 01:00 UTC | -2% | 90K |
| 02:00 UTC | -3% | 88K |
| 03:00 UTC | -4% | 94K |
| 04:00 UTC | -5% | 76K |
| 05:00 UTC | -4% | 75K |
| 06:00 UTC | -5% | 86K |
| 07:00 UTC | -5% | 93K |
| 08:00 UTC | -4% | 108K |
| 09:00 UTC | -4% | 124K |
| 10:00 UTC | -3% | 129K |
| 11:00 UTC | -3% | 141K |
| 12:00 UTC | -3% | 154K |
| 13:00 UTC | -3% | 167K |
| 14:00 UTC | -4% | 173K |
| 15:00 UTC | -2% | 176K |
| 16:00 UTC | -3% | 171K |
| 17:00 UTC | -3% | 159K |
| 18:00 UTC | -2% | 149K |
| 19:00 UTC | -2% | 141K |
| 20:00 UTC | -1% | 131K |
| 21:00 UTC | 0% | 116K |
| 22:00 UTC | -2% | 100K |
| 23:00 UTC | -1% | 90K |
Show engagement by day of week as a table
| Day | Vs author median | Posts |
|---|---|---|
| Sunday | +5% | 393K |
| Monday | +1% | 483K |
| Tuesday | -2% | 520K |
| Wednesday | -3% | 472K |
| Thursday | -2% | 430K |
| Friday | -3% | 447K |
| Saturday | +2% | 393K |
Formats this account uses
Its own posting mix on the left, and what each of those formats does across every account we track on the right. Only formats where the effect clears our publish test appear here, so an empty row is a format we could not measure rather than one that does nothing.
| Format | This account | Catalog effect | 95% interval | Accounts behind it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Image or video | 26% of posts | +111% | +108% to +115% | 34K |
| Outbound link | 0% of posts | -41% | -42% to -40% | 32K |
| Typical length | - | -3% | -3% to -2% | 54K |
- 26% of this account's sampled posts carry an image or video. Across the catalog, posts with an image or video run 111% above the same accounts' other posts.
- 0% of its posts carry a link off X. Across the catalog, posts with an outbound link run 41% below the same accounts' other posts.
- Its average post runs 171 characters, which falls in the 80 - 180 characters band. Across the catalog, posts of 80 to 180 characters run 3% below the same accounts' other posts.
These are catalog-wide differences applied to this account's own posting mix, not a measurement of how each format performs for this account specifically. We keep one median per account, not one per format per account, so the second thing is not something this data can tell you.
Best tweets
- Oct 6, 202654x their median
〜明日も皆様に"後悔"させません〜 ⠀ 🎁いいねRPした人"全員が対象"🎁 ジャパンダートクラシック[JDC]【A+】 ※見解&買い目付き予想 ⠀ 🌈南関グレード重賞◎3連続🥇🌈 ・レディスプレリュード【A】 ◎メモリアカフェ(3.9倍)🥇 ・日本テレビ盃【A】 ◎→▲→○3複3.1倍🎯3単10.8倍🎯 ・マリーンカップ【A+】 ◎→○→☆単勝3.1倍🎯3連単🎯
- Oct 7, 202618x their median
大井1・2・3・4R [見解&買い目付き予想] 〜コツコツ作戦を開始します⛑️〜 🏆大井は買い目付きで2日連続の勝ち確🏆 10/6【S】○◎☆3連単112.0倍🎯 10/5☆◎▲3複60.4倍🎯3単370.7倍🎯 👇🏻条件はこちら👇🏻 https://t.co/PkxxK35Efd
- Oct 7, 202615x their median
10/7(水)笠松&園田やっちゃうよおおおお 🏆激絞り配信は勝ちやすく負けにくい🏆 とにかく「後悔させない」 無料💌欲しい人は、♻️❤️ポチポチ👇🏻 ※反応多数ならXに公開! ※少なければ参加の早い人順にDM配布💌 https://t.co/RiiCePiYhu
- Oct 7, 20261.6x their median
〜「地方競馬の神」が出した神予想〜 大井2R ◎ナックポピー(1.2倍)🥇 ☆ココクイック(7.3倍)🥈 相手:ラバテラダンサー(124.2倍)🥉 ワイド1点本線→12.8倍🎯 3連単6点→108.9倍🎯 たくさんの的中報告を見せて見せて!😻 https://t.co/ozSHrdylty
- Oct 7, 2026
笠松1R【推奨度B+】 ※ブクマ🔖で保存推奨 ⠀ ◎7ヴェネラブル 先行型。転厩初戦の前走は果敢に逃げて圧勝。上がり3Fも逃げて最速の40.3と好タイムを叩き出した。今回転厩2戦目で相手関係にも恵まれた一戦で、逃げそうな6を見つつ運べれば前走の再現が叶うのではないか。 ○6 ☆1.3.5 馬単 ◎→5.7 ワイド ◎→1.3 3連複 ◎○→☆
- Oct 7, 2026
大井1〜4Rは買い方がめっちゃ大切になるね😌 大怪我を防ぐためにも、「コツコツ作戦」を開始します👏🏻
- Oct 7, 2026
大井3R【推奨度C】 ※ブクマ🔖で保存推奨 ⠀ ◎6セイシンドラゴン 持続型。前走は新馬戦だったが、スタートから出遅れてしまい後方になったことが非常に痛かった。それでも早めに動いて捲る形を取り、最後は上がり3F3位のタイムをマークして4着だった。叩き2で前進が見込めるはずで、尚且つ今の馬場なら短縮組を買いたいところ。力を出しきれれば勝ち負けに持ち込めると考えている。 ○7 ▲4 ☆1.9 単勝 ◎ ワイド ◎→○▲ 3連複 ◎→○▲☆
- Oct 7, 2026
園田R【推奨度C+】 ※ブクマ🔖で保存推奨 ⠀ ◎7テーオーモンブラン 持続型。長く末脚を使って差してこれるタイプの馬で、上がり3Fのレンジも優秀。決め手としぶとさを活かせるはずめ、今回のメンバー的にも地力は通用して良い。ここは乗り替わりにはなるが乗り慣れたコンビでどこまで詰めてこれるか。 ○6 ▲5 ☆3.4.8 単勝 ◎ ワイド ◎→○▲ 3連複 ◎→○▲☆
- Oct 7, 2026
大井2R【推奨度C】 ※ブクマ🔖で保存推奨 ⠀ ◎2ナックポピー 持続型。「上がり3F・末脚の質」「前走内容」「騎手特性・配置」の面からここは断然軸推奨の1頭。地力はここに入れば上位で不利なく普通に回ってくれば突き抜け濃厚レベル。この馬を軸にしないのはあり得ない。相手が非常に難解で絞るしかない一戦。3連単はあくまで抑え程度に、ワイドと3連複を本線。 ☆3.5.9 ワイド ◎→7 本線 3連複 ◎→☆本線 3連単 ◎→☆⇔7 6点
- Oct 7, 2026
笠松2R【推奨度C】 ※ブクマ🔖で保存推奨 ⠀ ◎8カタクラフト 持続型。位置を取って差してこれるタイプなので、今の笠松であれば好位からの差し切りを決められるはず。中央から転厩してきて2戦しているが、どちらのレースぶりも評価できるもの。機動力にも優れているので、ここも自分の競馬に徹すれば勝ち負けまで。 ○7 ☆3.4.6 馬単 ◎→○ ワイド ◎→4.6 3連複 ◎○→☆
Ranked by total interactions across everything we have tracked for this account, which is a longer history than the 30-day window the rates above use. The multiple compares each post to this account's own median.
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Reading these numbers
A typical post picks up 14 interactions against 117K followers, an engagement rate of 0.012%. Measured over 19 original posts, its engagement rate beats 22% of 20,444 tracked accounts of a similar size. That is a reason to look at how the audience behaves - reply depth, saves, whether the followers are recent - rather than a conclusion about it on its own. Posts are seen about 4.1K times each, and 0.338% of those impressions turn into an interaction. That is about 3.54% of the follower count, which is the gap between an audience on paper and an audience in a timeline. Posting runs at about 1.6 posts a day over the last 30 days, though only 10% of days saw any activity at all. Most posts go out around 02:00 UTC, and Wednesday is the busiest day of the week. Of the 19 posts sampled, 26% carry an image or video. The account's strongest tracked post pulled 759 interactions, about 54x its own typical post.
- What is 競馬予想家あやね|アガ理論[上がり3F×馬場×前走内容×騎手]'s engagement rate on X?
- 競馬予想家あやね|アガ理論[上がり3F×馬場×前走内容×騎手] (@222ayaneru) has an engagement rate of 0.012%, based on the median interactions across 19 original posts from the last 30 days against 117,119 followers. Replies, reposts and quote-posts of other people are excluded from that sample.
- Is that a good engagement rate?
- At 0.012%, 競馬予想家あやね|アガ理論[上がり3F×馬場×前走内容×騎手] sits above the 10th percentile of the 205,475 accounts in this comparison. Those comparison accounts are all large ones, because our scanning cadence is weighted towards big accounts, so this is a ranking among peers of similar scale rather than a ranking across X.
- Does @222ayaneru have real engagement?
- Its engagement rate beats 22% of the tracked X accounts closest to it in follower count (20,444 accounts), which puts it in the bottom quarter for its size group. Ranking inside a size band matters because engagement rate falls as accounts grow, so a raw rate would mostly re-measure the follower count. It is a starting point for a look at follower quality, not a verdict on it.
- When does @222ayaneru post?
- Most posts go out around 02:00 UTC, and Wednesday is its busiest day, at roughly 1.6 posts per day across the measured window.