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競馬予想家あやね|アガ理論[上がり3F×馬場×前走内容×騎手] engagement report

@222ayaneru - 117K followers on X

Measured over 19 original posts from a 30-day window, last computed on October 7, 2026.

Engagement

Bottom quarter for its size
Per follower
0.012%
of 117K followers
Per impression
0.338%
4.1K views on a typical post
Reach
3.54%
of its followers see a post
Typical post
14
interactions (median)
Saved
0%
0 bookmarks on a typical post
Posting rate
1.6/day
active 10% of days
Peak time
02:00 UTC
Wednesday

A typical post picks up 14 interactions against 117K followers, an engagement rate of 0.012%. Measured over 19 original posts, its engagement rate beats 22% of 20,444 tracked accounts of a similar size. That is a reason to look at how the audience behaves - reply depth, saves, whether the followers are recent - rather than a conclusion about it on its own. Posts are seen about 4.1K times each, and 0.338% of those impressions turn into an interaction. That is about 3.54% of the follower count, which is the gap between an audience on paper and an audience in a timeline. Posting runs at about 1.6 posts a day over the last 30 days, though only 10% of days saw any activity at all. Most posts go out around 02:00 UTC, and Wednesday is the busiest day of the week. Of the 19 posts sampled, 26% carry an image or video. The account's strongest tracked post pulled 759 interactions, about 54x its own typical post.

Measured over 19 original posts from a 30-day window, last computed on October 7, 2026.

Compared with accounts its own size

競馬予想家あやね|アガ理論[上がり3F×馬場×前走内容×騎手]'s engagement rate beats 22% of the tracked X accounts closest to it in follower count (20,444 accounts, accounts of similar size (decile 8 of 10)). A percentile is spread evenly by construction, so 50 really is the middle of that group and 90 really is its top tenth.

On engagement per impression rather than per follower it beats 18% of the same group. When those two numbers disagree, the gap is about how far its posts travel rather than how people react to them.

Where this sits in the catalog

At 0.012%, 競馬予想家あやね|アガ理論[上がり3F×馬場×前走内容×騎手] sits above the 10th percentile of the 205,475 accounts in this comparison. That places it in the bottom 25% band, which runs below 0.024%.

p100.004%
p250.024%
p50 (median)0.143%
p750.678%
p902.55%
p9982.4%
Engagement rate as a share of followers, across the 205,475 accounts we have scanned enough to measure. The axis is logarithmic, because the top and bottom of this population are about 22,893 times apart and a linear axis would flatten everything below the median into a single point.
Show the percentile table
Engagement rate percentiles
PercentileEngagement rate
10th percentile0.004%
25th percentile0.024%
50th percentile0.143%
75th percentile0.678%
90th percentile2.55%
99th percentile82.4%

This ruler is the whole measured catalog, not a size-matched group: it shows where the raw rate falls across every account we can measure, all of which are large. For a like-for-like comparison, read the size-band percentile above instead. See how the bands are built

Posting timing

This account posts most often around 02:00 UTC, and Wednesday is its busiest day of the week. The bars below are the catalog-wide pattern, with this account's own busiest slot marked. They do not show how this account performs at each hour: we keep one aggregate per account, not one per hour, so that measurement does not exist in our data.

Engagement by hour posted, UTCTwenty-four bars, one per UTC hour. Each bar shows how posts published in that hour compare with their own authors' median engagement. Bars above the centre line ran higher than the median, bars below ran lower. A marker flags Busiest hour: 02:00 UTC.
0003060912151821
Above the authors' own mediansBelowScale: plus or minus 111%Busiest hour: 02:00 UTC
Show engagement by hour posted, utc as a table
Engagement by hour posted, UTC
Hour (UTC)Vs author medianPosts
00:00 UTC-1%89K
01:00 UTC-2%90K
02:00 UTC-3%88K
03:00 UTC-4%94K
04:00 UTC-5%76K
05:00 UTC-4%75K
06:00 UTC-5%86K
07:00 UTC-5%93K
08:00 UTC-4%108K
09:00 UTC-4%124K
10:00 UTC-3%129K
11:00 UTC-3%141K
12:00 UTC-3%154K
13:00 UTC-3%167K
14:00 UTC-4%173K
15:00 UTC-2%176K
16:00 UTC-3%171K
17:00 UTC-3%159K
18:00 UTC-2%149K
19:00 UTC-2%141K
20:00 UTC-1%131K
21:00 UTC0%116K
22:00 UTC-2%100K
23:00 UTC-1%90K
Engagement by day of weekSeven bars, one per weekday, Sunday first. Each bar shows how posts published on that day compare with their own authors' median engagement. Bars above the centre line ran higher than the median, bars below ran lower. A marker flags Busiest day: Wednesday.
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Above the authors' own mediansBelowScale: plus or minus 111%Busiest day: Wednesday
Show engagement by day of week as a table
Engagement by day of week
DayVs author medianPosts
Sunday+5%393K
Monday+1%483K
Tuesday-2%520K
Wednesday-3%472K
Thursday-2%430K
Friday-3%447K
Saturday+2%393K
See what moves engagement across the whole catalogWhat counts as a good engagement rate at this size

Formats this account uses

Its own posting mix on the left, and what each of those formats does across every account we track on the right. Only formats where the effect clears our publish test appear here, so an empty row is a format we could not measure rather than one that does nothing.

This account's posting mix compared with catalog-wide effects
FormatThis accountCatalog effect95% intervalAccounts behind it
Image or video26% of posts+111%+108% to +115%34K
Outbound link0% of posts-41%-42% to -40%32K
Typical length--3%-3% to -2%54K
  • 26% of this account's sampled posts carry an image or video. Across the catalog, posts with an image or video run 111% above the same accounts' other posts.
  • 0% of its posts carry a link off X. Across the catalog, posts with an outbound link run 41% below the same accounts' other posts.
  • Its average post runs 171 characters, which falls in the 80 - 180 characters band. Across the catalog, posts of 80 to 180 characters run 3% below the same accounts' other posts.

These are catalog-wide differences applied to this account's own posting mix, not a measurement of how each format performs for this account specifically. We keep one median per account, not one per format per account, so the second thing is not something this data can tell you.

Best tweets

  • Oct 6, 202654x their median

    〜明日も皆様に"後悔"させません〜 ⠀ 🎁いいねRPした人"全員が対象"🎁 ジャパンダートクラシック[JDC]【A+】 ※見解&買い目付き予想 ⠀ 🌈南関グレード重賞◎3連続🥇🌈 ・レディスプレリュード【A】 ◎メモリアカフェ(3.9倍)🥇 ・日本テレビ盃【A】 ◎→▲→○3複3.1倍🎯3単10.8倍🎯 ・マリーンカップ【A+】 ◎→○→☆単勝3.1倍🎯3連単🎯

    40433418314K viewsView on X
  • Oct 7, 202618x their median

    大井1・2・3・4R [見解&買い目付き予想] 〜コツコツ作戦を開始します⛑️〜 🏆大井は買い目付きで2日連続の勝ち確🏆 10/6【S】○◎☆3連単112.0倍🎯 10/5☆◎▲3複60.4倍🎯3単370.7倍🎯 👇🏻条件はこちら👇🏻 https://t.co/PkxxK35Efd

    1301121228.8K viewsView on X
  • Oct 7, 202615x their median

    10/7(水)笠松&園田やっちゃうよおおおお 🏆激絞り配信は勝ちやすく負けにくい🏆 とにかく「後悔させない」 無料💌欲しい人は、♻️❤️ポチポチ👇🏻 ※反応多数ならXに公開! ※少なければ参加の早い人順にDM配布💌 https://t.co/RiiCePiYhu

    105861315.7K viewsView on X
  • Oct 7, 20261.6x their median

    〜「地方競馬の神」が出した神予想〜 大井2R ◎ナックポピー(1.2倍)🥇 ☆ココクイック(7.3倍)🥈 相手:ラバテラダンサー(124.2倍)🥉 ワイド1点本線→12.8倍🎯 3連単6点→108.9倍🎯 たくさんの的中報告を見せて見せて!😻 https://t.co/ozSHrdylty

    132625.0K viewsView on X
  • Oct 7, 2026

    笠松1R【推奨度B+】 ※ブクマ🔖で保存推奨 ⠀ ◎7ヴェネラブル  先行型。転厩初戦の前走は果敢に逃げて圧勝。上がり3Fも逃げて最速の40.3と好タイムを叩き出した。今回転厩2戦目で相手関係にも恵まれた一戦で、逃げそうな6を見つつ運べれば前走の再現が叶うのではないか。 ○6 ☆1.3.5 馬単 ◎→5.7 ワイド ◎→1.3 3連複 ◎○→☆

    133116.5K viewsView on X
  • Oct 7, 2026

    大井1〜4Rは買い方がめっちゃ大切になるね😌 大怪我を防ぐためにも、「コツコツ作戦」を開始します👏🏻

    152002.9K viewsView on X
  • Oct 7, 2026

    大井3R【推奨度C】 ※ブクマ🔖で保存推奨 ⠀ ◎6セイシンドラゴン  持続型。前走は新馬戦だったが、スタートから出遅れてしまい後方になったことが非常に痛かった。それでも早めに動いて捲る形を取り、最後は上がり3F3位のタイムをマークして4着だった。叩き2で前進が見込めるはずで、尚且つ今の馬場なら短縮組を買いたいところ。力を出しきれれば勝ち負けに持ち込めると考えている。 ○7 ▲4 ☆1.9 単勝 ◎ ワイド ◎→○▲ 3連複 ◎→○▲☆

    111314.5K viewsView on X
  • Oct 7, 2026

    園田R【推奨度C+】 ※ブクマ🔖で保存推奨 ⠀ ◎7テーオーモンブラン  持続型。長く末脚を使って差してこれるタイプの馬で、上がり3Fのレンジも優秀。決め手としぶとさを活かせるはずめ、今回のメンバー的にも地力は通用して良い。ここは乗り替わりにはなるが乗り慣れたコンビでどこまで詰めてこれるか。 ○6 ▲5 ☆3.4.8 単勝 ◎ ワイド ◎→○▲ 3連複 ◎→○▲☆

    132103.8K viewsView on X
  • Oct 7, 2026

    大井2R【推奨度C】 ※ブクマ🔖で保存推奨 ⠀ ◎2ナックポピー  持続型。「上がり3F・末脚の質」「前走内容」「騎手特性・配置」の面からここは断然軸推奨の1頭。地力はここに入れば上位で不利なく普通に回ってくれば突き抜け濃厚レベル。この馬を軸にしないのはあり得ない。相手が非常に難解で絞るしかない一戦。3連単はあくまで抑え程度に、ワイドと3連複を本線。 ☆3.5.9 ワイド ◎→7 本線 3連複 ◎→☆本線 3連単 ◎→☆⇔7 6点

    91326.2K viewsView on X
  • Oct 7, 2026

    笠松2R【推奨度C】 ※ブクマ🔖で保存推奨 ⠀ ◎8カタクラフト  持続型。位置を取って差してこれるタイプなので、今の笠松であれば好位からの差し切りを決められるはず。中央から転厩してきて2戦しているが、どちらのレースぶりも評価できるもの。機動力にも優れているので、ここも自分の競馬に徹すれば勝ち負けまで。 ○7 ☆3.4.6 馬単 ◎→○ ワイド ◎→4.6 3連複 ◎○→☆

    103104.1K viewsView on X

Ranked by total interactions across everything we have tracked for this account, which is a longer history than the 30-day window the rates above use. The multiple compares each post to this account's own median.

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Reading these numbers

A typical post picks up 14 interactions against 117K followers, an engagement rate of 0.012%. Measured over 19 original posts, its engagement rate beats 22% of 20,444 tracked accounts of a similar size. That is a reason to look at how the audience behaves - reply depth, saves, whether the followers are recent - rather than a conclusion about it on its own. Posts are seen about 4.1K times each, and 0.338% of those impressions turn into an interaction. That is about 3.54% of the follower count, which is the gap between an audience on paper and an audience in a timeline. Posting runs at about 1.6 posts a day over the last 30 days, though only 10% of days saw any activity at all. Most posts go out around 02:00 UTC, and Wednesday is the busiest day of the week. Of the 19 posts sampled, 26% carry an image or video. The account's strongest tracked post pulled 759 interactions, about 54x its own typical post.

What is 競馬予想家あやね|アガ理論[上がり3F×馬場×前走内容×騎手]'s engagement rate on X?
競馬予想家あやね|アガ理論[上がり3F×馬場×前走内容×騎手] (@222ayaneru) has an engagement rate of 0.012%, based on the median interactions across 19 original posts from the last 30 days against 117,119 followers. Replies, reposts and quote-posts of other people are excluded from that sample.
Is that a good engagement rate?
At 0.012%, 競馬予想家あやね|アガ理論[上がり3F×馬場×前走内容×騎手] sits above the 10th percentile of the 205,475 accounts in this comparison. Those comparison accounts are all large ones, because our scanning cadence is weighted towards big accounts, so this is a ranking among peers of similar scale rather than a ranking across X.
Does @222ayaneru have real engagement?
Its engagement rate beats 22% of the tracked X accounts closest to it in follower count (20,444 accounts), which puts it in the bottom quarter for its size group. Ranking inside a size band matters because engagement rate falls as accounts grow, so a raw rate would mostly re-measure the follower count. It is a starting point for a look at follower quality, not a verdict on it.
When does @222ayaneru post?
Most posts go out around 02:00 UTC, and Wednesday is its busiest day, at roughly 1.6 posts per day across the measured window.

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