Stock Analyst Kevin engagement report

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• Aug 29, 202616x their median

  📊 Marvell's Earnings Exceed Expectations, But Why Did Its Stock Price Plunge? Marvell ($MRVL) released its latest quarterly results: → Revenue of $2.74 billion → Adjusted EPS of $0.94 → Next quarter's revenue guidance: approximately $3.15 billion → Next quarter's adjusted EPS guidance: approximately $1.10 These figures slightly exceeded market expectations, but Marvell's stock price still fell sharply after the earnings release. The problem isn't poor company performance, but rather the market's previously high expectations for its custom AI chip business. Investors had hoped to see custom ASIC projects from cloud providers like Google, driving a more significant upward revision to next quarter's revenue and earnings forecasts. However, Marvell's guidance only slightly exceeded expectations, offering no new surprises to justify its high valuation. This reflects a significant shift in the current AI chip market: → Simply exceeding expectations is no longer enough → The market demands a substantial upward revision of revenue guidance → Custom ASIC projects must translate into actual revenue more quickly → High-valuation companies may experience a significant stock price correction once surprises are absent. Marvell's advantages remain. The company simultaneously develops custom AI chips for cloud vendors, high-speed interconnects, data center optical communications, and network chips, remaining a key player in the AI ​​infrastructure supply chain. However, this stock price reaction indicates that the market is reassessing its expectations regarding how quickly custom ASICs can challenge Nvidia. This also makes Broadcom ($AVGO)'s upcoming earnings report even more crucial. Since Broadcom is also deeply involved in the cloud vendor custom AI chip and high-speed network markets, investors will focus on: → Whether custom AI chip revenue can significantly exceed expectations → Whether orders from Google and other cloud customers continue to expand → Whether the AI ​​networking business can maintain high-speed growth → Whether the guidance for the next quarter is strong enough Marvell's earnings report sends a clear signal: AI demand remains strong, but the capital market's performance threshold for AI chip companies has been pushed to a very high level.

  104201.4K viewsView on X
• Sep 10, 202614x their median

  📊 As Huawei, Xiaomi, and Apple simultaneously push foldable phones into the high-end market, the real focus shifts from which phone sells best to which suppliers can secure a place in the core supply chains of these three major brands. Our firm has been tracking the smartphone and consumer electronics supply chain for years. Based on confirmed transaction records, some investors who positioned themselves early in the relevant stocks we identified have realized cumulative gains exceeding $1 million. According to Reuters, Huawei and Xiaomi are accelerating their race for the high-end foldable phone market: → Huawei released the Mate XT2 tri-fold phone, priced between RMB 19,999 and RMB 24,999. → Xiaomi launched the Xiaomi 18 Fold, priced between RMB 10,999 and RMB 14,999. → The Xiaomi 18 Fold features the proprietary Xuanjie O3 chip, further strengthening the company's high-end positioning and chip self-sufficiency. → Both companies are racing to capture consumer attention and secure supply chain resources ahead of Apple's upcoming foldable product launch. We believe the competition in the foldable sector is shifting from mere product innovation to a comprehensive contest involving chips, OLED panels, hinges, precision structural components, and device manufacturing capabilities. If foldable phones transition from niche high-end novelties to mass-market products, the primary beneficiaries may not be the device brands themselves, but rather the suppliers of core components—which command significantly higher per-unit value compared to those used in traditional smartphones. Relevant Stocks: → 01810 Xiaomi Corporation | Foldable devices and proprietary chips → 000725 BOE Technology | Flexible OLED panels → 300433 Lens Technology | Glass cover plates and precision structural components → 002475 Luxshare Precision | Consumer electronics precision manufacturing → 002600 Lingyi iTech | Hinges and precision functional components We will continue to track sales volumes, supply chain orders, and core component value trends for Huawei, Xiaomi, and Apple's foldable products via our official Telegram channel and WhatsApp research groups. Until our institutional account reaches 1 million followers, we are providing core research content on the foldable phone and consumer electronics supply chain free of charge.

  00140787 viewsView on X
• Sep 24, 202610x their median

  While global AI technology stocks are rebounding, the real focus for the South Korean market should not be limited to Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix; rather, the key is whether capital is beginning to flow across the entire semiconductor supply chain. Our firm has already generated returns exceeding $1 million through investments in the semiconductor and AI supply chains. The recent rebound in US AI and chip stocks further indicates that the market is reassessing the sustainability of AI-related capital expenditure. As major technology companies continue to build out data centers, demand for components such as HBM, enterprise SSDs, MLCCs, packaging substrates, test sockets, and deposition equipment is rising in tandem. The South Korean stock market is currently closed for the Chuseok holiday and will resume trading on September 28. Market movements in US tech stocks, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, and memory chip companies during this break are likely to be reflected in the opening prices when the Korean market reopens. Our firm is currently focusing on the following South Korean stocks: → 005930 Samsung Electronics | DRAM, NAND, HBM, and advanced packaging → 000660 SK Hynix | HBM, advanced DRAM, and enterprise SSDs → 402340 SK Square | Holds a stake in SK Hynix; offers valuation linkage potential → 009150 Samsung Electro-Mechanics | AI server MLCCs and FC-BGA packaging substrates → 095340 ISC | Test sockets for AI and memory chips → 058470 Leeno Industrial | Semiconductor test probes and sockets → 036930 Jusung Engineering | Deposition equipment for DRAM and advanced processes → 240810 Wonik IPS | Wafer manufacturing equipment for DRAM and NAND → 042700 Hanmi Semiconductor | HBM advanced packaging and TC Bonder equipment In terms of the transmission sequence along the supply chain, the first stage typically sees memory giants like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix being the first to reflect changes in AI demand and product pricing. The second stage involves memory manufacturers increasing capital expenditure on HBM, DRAM, and NAND, thereby driving new orders for equipment suppliers such as Jusung Engineering, Wonik IPS, and Hanmi Semiconductor. The third phase involves continued growth in AI server shipments, driving demand for Samsung Electro-Mechanics’ high-end MLCCs and FC-BGA substrates, as well as recurring revenue for testing component firms like ISC and Leeno Industrial. To determine whether this market trend will persist, we need to monitor the following indicators: → Whether the rebound in US AI and semiconductor stocks continues → Whether Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix attract net buying from foreign investors → Whether orders for HBM and enterprise SSDs continue to grow → Whether DRAM and NAND prices maintain an upward trend → Whether equipment manufacturers' order backlogs translate into revenue → Whether lead times for AI server components continue to extend Our firm assesses that if leading semiconductor stocks rise upon the reopening of the Korean market—accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume and foreign buying—it signals that capital is reaffirming the AI ​​capital expenditure theme. If capital flows expand beyond Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix to include Samsung Electro-Mechanics, ISC, Leeno Industrial, and Jusung Engineering, it indicates a shift in market momentum from index heavyweights to supply chain companies with tangible orders and earnings upside. The real focus should not be on every stock associated with the AI ​​theme, but rather on companies capable of converting data center investments into orders, revenue, profits, and cash flow. Until we reach one million followers, our firm will continue to provide free analysis of the Korean AI and semiconductor supply chain, tracking foreign capital flows, equipment orders, and shifts in server demand to help investors identify the next wave of industry opportunities ahead of the curve.

  64002.9K viewsView on X
• Sep 22, 20268.0x their median

  Our firm has generated over $1 million in cumulative investment returns by tracking—well in advance—major investments that have yet to materialize but hold the potential to shift order flows across the supply chain. According to Reuters, Solidigm (a subsidiary of SK Hynix) is evaluating the construction of a NAND flash memory plant in the U.S., with upstate New York being a potential location. While the project remains in the preliminary discussion stage with no final decision yet made, its successful execution would reduce Solidigm’s reliance on its Dalian, China production base while boosting SK Hynix’s domestic U.S. supply capabilities for NAND and enterprise SSDs. Key drivers behind this initiative include: → U.S. pressure on semiconductor companies to expand domestic production → The need to mitigate supply chain strains caused by tariffs and export controls → Rising demand for high-capacity NAND and enterprise SSDs fueled by AI servers → Potential funding for expansion via financing or an IPO Construction costs in the U.S. are likely to be significantly higher than in Asia; therefore, the critical factors to monitor are government subsidies, long-term customer orders, mass production costs, and capacity utilization rates. Only when these conditions are confirmed can the project translate into actual revenue for equipment and materials suppliers. Our firm is currently focusing on the following South Korean stocks: → 000660 SK Hynix | HBM, NAND, and enterprise SSDs → 042700 Hanmi Semiconductor | Advanced packaging equipment → 036930 Jusung Engineering | Semiconductor thin-film deposition equipment → 240810 Wonik IPS | Memory chip manufacturing equipment → 095340 ISC | AI chip test sockets → 058470 Leeno Industrial | Semiconductor test probes and sockets Whether these equipment companies benefit depends on their inclusion in the supplier list for the U.S. project. Key indicators to watch in the next phase include the site selection, government subsidies, the scale of capital expenditure (CAPEX), and the timing of equipment tenders. Until we reach 1 million followers, our firm will continue to provide free analysis of South Korean semiconductor companies' overseas expansion plans and the equipment and materials stocks likely to secure early orders.

  70101.2K viewsView on X
• Sep 15, 20267.0x their median

  📉 South Korean tech stocks are facing a "triple whammy" of pressures: oil prices breaching $100 per barrel, US Treasury yields hitting 5%, and emerging concerns regarding a slowdown in global AI investment. While most investors view the decline in semiconductor stocks merely as a standard market correction, our firm focuses on the underlying drivers—specifically the cost of capital, energy prices, and AI capital expenditure—as these three variables are simultaneously shaping the valuations of South Korean tech stocks. Over the past few years, we have tracked foreign capital flows, corporate capital expenditure (CAPEX), semiconductor orders, and macroeconomic interest rate trends. By utilizing these leading indicators to anticipate market turning points, we have generated cumulative investment returns exceeding $1 million. The pressures currently facing the South Korean market stem from several key areas: → International oil prices rising above $100 per barrel → US 10-year Treasury yields touching 5% → Market concerns over slowing growth in global AI infrastructure investment → Continued reduction of holdings in high-valuation tech stocks by foreign and institutional investors → Valuation repricing for semiconductor and growth stocks South Korea is heavily reliant on energy imports; rising oil prices drive up corporate costs and inflationary pressure, while higher US Treasury yields reduce the present value of future earnings for growth stocks. Meanwhile, if global technology companies scale back investments in AI servers and data centers, the market will likely reassess growth projections for HBM, server components, and cloud computing firms. We are currently closely monitoring the following South Korean companies: → 005930 Samsung Electronics | HBM, foundry services, and enterprise SSDs → 000660 SK Hynix | HBM and high-performance DRAM → 402340 SK Square | Holds equity in SK Hynix; valuation influenced by semiconductor market trends → 035420 NAVER | Generative AI, cloud computing, and enterprise AI services → 007660 ISU Petasys | AI servers and high-speed networking multilayer PCBs → 042700 Hanmi Semiconductor | HBM packaging equipment and TC bonding equipment Meanwhile, certain oil refining companies may find relative support amidst high oil prices: → 010950 S-Oil | Refining margins and inventory value fluctuations → 096770 SK Innovation | Refining, energy, and battery businesses However, the long-term growth thesis for the AI ​​industry remains intact. The current market correction represents a reassessment of capital expenditure (CapEx) pace, the cost of capital, and the ability of companies to realize earnings, rather than the end of the AI ​​cycle itself. We believe that companies likely to stabilize first will meet the following criteria: → Secured verifiable customer orders → Ability to convert AI-related revenue into actual cash flow → Strong cost control and financial strength → An irreplaceable position within the HBM, advanced packaging, or AI server supply chain Moving forward, we will continue to track international oil prices, US long-term interest rates, foreign capital flows, and AI-related CapEx by global tech companies to determine when the South Korean semiconductor sector has completed its valuation adjustment. Please follow this account to stay updated on the latest developments regarding Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and the South Korean AI supply chain. We will continue to share our core research findings for free until we reach one million followers.

  31301.2K viewsView on X
• Aug 29, 20267.0x their median

  The Federal Reserve reiterated hawkish signals, putting new tests on tech stock valuations. In his speech at Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh emphasized that if inflation fails to clearly and quickly fall back to the 2% target, the Fed may still need to take further action. This statement dampened some market expectations of an imminent shift to easing monetary policy, prompting investors to reassess the likelihood of a September rate hike. As a result, the three major US stock indices all declined: → Nasdaq down 0.52% → S&P 500 down 0.25% → Dow Jones down slightly 0.02% → Nvidia saw profit-taking after its earnings report, with shares falling 4.6%. The market is currently caught in a tug-of-war between two forces: On the one hand, Nvidia's earnings report demonstrates continued strong demand for AI infrastructure; on the other hand, inflation and interest rate risks are increasing discounting pressure on highly valued tech stocks. This means the market's focus will shift back from corporate earnings reports to macroeconomic data: → US Non-Farm Payrolls → Unemployment Rate and Wage Growth → CPI and Core PCE Inflation → September Fed Interest Rate Decision If employment and inflation data continue to be strong, expectations of interest rate hikes may intensify further, potentially leading to more significant valuation volatility in AI chips, cloud computing, and highly valued software stocks. Conversely, if economic data shows a significant slowdown, the market may re-trade for peak interest rates, driving funds back into growth stocks. Therefore, while the fundamentals of AI have not reversed, the biggest variable for tech stocks in the short term has shifted from "whether demand is slowing" to "whether the Fed will raise interest rates again."

  51102.1K viewsView on X
• Aug 20, 20267.0x their median

  📊 Tesla (TSLA) Analysis ① Fundamentals Analysis Tesla's core investment logic lies not only in electric vehicle sales but also in the growth potential of its robotaxi, autonomous driving, AI, energy storage, and Optimus businesses. In the second quarter, vehicle deliveries totaled approximately 480,000 units, and energy storage capacity reached 13.5 GWh. Revenue was approximately $28.2 billion, exceeding market expectations, but profitability and cash flow remain burdensome factors. ② Reasons for Today's Rise The current stock price stands at approximately $351, up 4.23% from the previous day. The following factors appear to have influenced the recent rise. → News that Tesla is preparing pilot runs for CyberCab employees in Austin → Expectations for expansion of the robotaxi and autonomous driving businesses → Increase in Q2 vehicle deliveries and growth in the energy storage business → Inflow of technical buying after recovering to around $340 → Liquidation of short-term short positions and improvement in investor sentiment However, it is difficult to explain today's rise with a single piece of news; it appears that expectations for robotaxis and technical buying acted together. ③ Technical Aspects Looking at the 15-minute chart, Tesla formed a strong upward trend from approximately $297 to $351. The current stock price has risen to around the previous high of $351.85, and the short-term uptrend is being maintained. The Fibonacci support lines to check in the event of a correction are as follows: → $331.03: Fibonacci 38.2% 1st Support Level → $324.60: Fibonacci 50% 2nd Support Level → $318.17: Fibonacci 61.8% Key Support Level If the price maintains above $331, the current upward trend is likely to continue. Conversely, if $331 is breached, the correction could extend to $324.60; if this level is also broken, $318.17 must be confirmed. Since the current price is near a short-term high, an approach that confirms support during the correction is more stable than chasing the rally with new buy orders. ④ Key Positive Factors → Expectations for expansion of CyberCab and RoboTaxi businesses → Long-term growth potential for autonomous driving software → Increase in Q2 vehicle deliveries → Continued growth in the energy storage business → Formation of a distinct upward trend since the $297 low ⑤ Key Risk Factors → High possibility of profit-taking due to a sharp rise in the short term → Pressure on profitability and margins in the automotive sector → Increased capital expenditures due to investments in AI and RoboTaxi → Regulatory and commercialization uncertainty regarding the autonomous driving business → The stock price currently reflects future expectations more than actual earnings ⑥ Overall Assessment Tesla has risen to around $351 driven by a combination of expectations for the RoboTaxi and AI businesses, a recovery in vehicle deliveries, and technical buying. While the current upward trend is strong, caution should be exercised regarding increased volatility as the stock is near a short-term high. In the event of a correction, it is important to first confirm $331.03, and in the event of a further decline, to step-by-step examine whether support levels at $324.60 and $318.17 exist. For informational purposes only. This content does not constitute investment advice.

  61001.1K viewsView on X
• Aug 18, 20267.0x their median

  📊 Analysis of the South Korean KOSPI Composite Index ① Fundamental Analysis The main drivers of the recent KOSPI index have remained large semiconductor stocks such as Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, as well as the reallocation of foreign investors' holdings in South Korea's AI storage industry. The medium-term fundamentals of South Korea's semiconductor industry have not weakened significantly. Demand for HBM, server DRAM, and enterprise-grade SSDs continues to be supported by AI infrastructure investment. Recent foreign capital inflows into Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix have also propelled the KOSPI's rapid rebound from its lows. However, rising US long-term Treasury yields, persistently high international oil prices, and uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran situation continue to suppress risk appetite in Asian markets. The KOSPI's rapid rebound in the early stages suggests that short-term profit-taking pressure remains. Therefore, the current market is in a phase of interplay between "semiconductor fundamental support" and "external macroeconomic risk suppression." ② Technical Analysis Looking at the 15-minute candlestick chart, the KOSPI previously rose from approximately 6,180 points to 7,220 points, before rapidly declining from its high. The corresponding Fibonacci retracement levels for this round of gains are as follows: → 6,817 points: 38.2% key support level → 6,693 points: 50% secondary support level → 6,569 points: 61.8% core support level Today, the index dipped to a low of approximately 6,867 points before rebounding to around 6,953 points, indicating that some buying support emerged before the index approached 6,817 points. This is a positive signal, but it's not yet possible to definitively confirm the end of the correction. The first priority is to observe whether the index can regain its footing in the 6,978-7,000 point range. If the index continues to hold above 6,867 points and successfully breaks through 7,000 points, it indicates stronger short-term rebound momentum, with a potential challenge of 7,100 points, or even a retest of the 7,150-7,220 point range. If the index falls below 6,867 points again, it may retest the 38.2% support level at 6,817 points. As long as 6,817 points is not broken with significant volume, the current short-term upward structure remains valid. If the index breaks below 6,817 points with significant volume and continues to trade below that level, the next level to watch is the 50% support level at 6,693 points; if 6,693 points is breached, it may further test the 61.8% core support level at 6,569 points. ③ Key Positive Factors → The index rebounded significantly before approaching the 38.2% support level. → Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix remain important supporting forces for the index. → AI servers continue to drive demand growth for HBM and high-end storage. → Foreign investors have recently refocused on large South Korean semiconductor stocks. → Following the previous market deleveraging, some speculative positions have been cleared. → A retest of 7,000 points may further improve market sentiment. ④ Key Risk Factors → Rising US long-term Treasury yields may suppress tech stock valuations. → Rising international oil prices will increase South Korean import costs and inflationary pressures. → Geopolitical tensions may fuel market risk aversion. → KOSPI is highly dependent on Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. → After a rapid rebound from its lows, the index still faces profit-taking pressure. → The 38.2% support level at 6,817 points has not yet been fully tested. ⑤ Overall Assessment KOSPI's rebound from 6,867 to 6,953 points indicates buying support at lower levels, and the short-term trend has improved compared to before. Currently, three key levels need to be observed: → Holding above 6,867 points: The short-term rebound structure continues. → Re-breaking 7,000 points: The rebound signal is further strengthened. → Falling below 6,867 points: A retest of 6,817 points is possible. → A break below 6,817 points on high volume: The correction may extend to 6,693 points. Overall, the KOSPI has not yet entered a clear downtrend, and the 38.2% Fibonacci support at 6,817 points remains valid. The rebound above this level indicates that market support is recovering. Conclusion: The short-term trend has improved, but 7,000 points remains a key resistance level to confirm whether the rebound can continue. Only by regaining a foothold above 7,000 points can we confirm that the market has a chance to challenge the 7,150-7,220 point area again.

  5110810 viewsView on X
• Sep 24, 20266.0x their median

  Capital flows within the AI ​​sector are shifting direction; the next wave of opportunities may lie not in GPUs—which have already seen massive gains—but in the data center supply chain, where assets remain underpriced. In recent years, the market has focused heavily on GPUs and major technology companies. However, as AI infrastructure enters a phase of large-scale deployment, capital is spreading into enterprise SSDs, semiconductor equipment, advanced packaging, AI servers, power infrastructure, and cloud computing services. We do not buy stocks simply because a company carries the "AI" label; instead, we prioritize enterprises capable of genuinely translating AI demand into orders, revenue, and free cash flow. We are currently prioritizing the monitoring of the following indicators: → Customer orders and certification progress → Production capacity and equipment utilization rates → Capital expenditure and equipment delivery status → Trends in revenue and gross margins → Improvements in free cash flow We are currently focusing on the following companies listed in South Korea and Hong Kong: 🇰🇷 South Korean Market → 095340 ISC | AI chip test sockets and testing solutions → 058470 Leeno Industrial | High-performance test probes and test sockets → 036930 Jusung Engineering | Advanced semiconductor deposition equipment → 240810 Wonik IPS | Semiconductor front-end equipment → 042700 Hanmi Semiconductor | HBM and advanced packaging equipment → 009150 Samsung Electro-Mechanics | AI server MLCCs and FC-BGA substrates → 267260 HD Hyundai Electric | Data center transformers and power distribution equipment → 000660 SK Hynix | HBM, DRAM, and enterprise SSDs → 005930 Samsung Electronics | HBM, DRAM, NAND, and advanced foundry services 🇭🇰 Hong Kong Market → https://t.co/0CByjZKYF8 Hua Hong Semiconductor | Chinese wafer foundry and specialty process technologies → https://t.co/srROB89Lx2 SMIC | Advanced and mature process wafer foundry → https://t.co/YatSucVtUB GDS Holdings | Data centers and AI computing infrastructure → https://t.co/VxTSqD3tqO Kingsoft Cloud | Cloud computing and enterprise AI services → https://t.co/RZZvdrgKBF Lenovo Group | AI servers, AI PCs, and edge computing → https://t.co/y0TM6hInzu ZTE Corporation | High-speed networking, servers, and telecommunications equipment → https://t.co/yzRnhliOsD Longsys | Enterprise SSDs and memory semiconductors → https://t.co/dQY8z2D4hh Tencent Holdings | AI computing power, large models, and enterprise AI applications Not all companies in the AI ​​supply chain will achieve the same level of earnings growth. The next wave of companies to undergo a genuine market re-rating will likely be those that have secured customer validation and are seeing simultaneous improvements in orders, capacity utilization, revenue, and profit margins. Moving forward, we will continue to scout the South Korean and Hong Kong markets for companies that have entered the phase where earnings growth is materializing, yet whose valuations do not yet fully reflect their AI-driven growth potential. While the AI ​​theme can generate short-term hype, it is orders and cash flow that drive sustained share price appreciation. Follow us; we will identify the stocks truly worth watching before the next wave of capital concentration begins.

  20401.3K viewsView on X
• Sep 23, 20266.0x their median

  📊 Key Market News: South Korea, US, and Hong Kong (September 24) Market Themes Today: South Korean markets are closed for the Chuseok holiday. US markets remain supported by the AI ​​and semiconductor sectors, while Hong Kong stocks have rebounded, driven by the technology sector. Market focus is centered on high-level US-China meetings and potential shifts in policies regarding trade, AI, and semiconductors. 🇰🇷 South Korean Market The Korea Exchange is closed on September 24–25 for the Chuseok holiday; there is no trading on the KOSPI or KOSDAQ today. On the last trading day prior to the break, the KOSPI rose 0.90% to close at 7,080.92 points. Samsung Electronics gained 3.07% and SK Hynix rose 1.25%, with heavyweight semiconductor stocks continuing to support the index. Regarding capital flows, institutional investors were net buyers of approximately KRW 450.6 billion, while retail investors were net sellers of about KRW 1.52 trillion and foreign investors were net sellers of about KRW 561.9 billion. Despite the index's rise, capital flow patterns remained divergent. Key Stocks: → 005930 Samsung Electronics | HBM, DRAM, and advanced packaging → 000660 SK Hynix | HBM and enterprise SSDs → 402340 SK Square | Value of SK Hynix stake → 009150 Samsung Electro-Mechanics | AI server MLCCs and FC-BGA → 042700 Hanmi Semiconductor | HBM and advanced packaging equipment The South Korean government has proposed doubling domestic semiconductor production capacity over the next five years and building an AI supply chain with greater autonomy and resilience. As the market is currently closed, the impact of policy news and the outcomes of US-China meetings will likely be reflected once trading resumes. 🇺🇸 US Market US markets continue to exhibit a structure where technology stocks show relative strength while traditional sectors face pressure. The Nasdaq recently hit consecutive record closing highs, with AI and semiconductors remaining key drivers; however, rising oil prices and US Treasury yields have limited further gains for the broader market. Key Stocks: → NVDA (NVIDIA) | AI accelerators and data centers → AMD | AI chips and server CPUs → META | AI assistants and large-scale model applications → MU (Micron Technology) | HBM, DRAM, and NAND → JPM (JPMorgan Chase) | High-interest-rate environment and bank earnings outlook The market is awaiting the outcome of the US-China meeting, focusing on whether a trade truce can be extended, as well as issues regarding AI regulation, semiconductor export restrictions, and global supply chains. Meanwhile, US Treasury yields remain elevated. While the AI ​​investment theme remains intact, volatility in high-valuation tech stocks may continue to widen. 🇭🇰 Hong Kong Market Hong Kong stocks rebounded on September 24; the Hang Seng Index rose approximately 1.3% to close near 25,211 points, recovering some of the losses from the previous trading session, with tech stocks serving as the primary driver. Key Stocks: → https://t.co/0BiYFyFiQA Alibaba-W | Cloud computing, AI chips, and data centers → https://t.co/dQY8z2D4hh Tencent Holdings | AI models, cloud services, and share buybacks → https://t.co/2YqlTbh3T8 Xiaomi Group-W | Smart EVs, smartphones, and AIoT → https://t.co/2BfgcM3T5y Baidu Group-SW | Large-scale models and intelligent cloud → https://t.co/srROB89Lx2 SMIC | Advanced wafer foundry in China → https://t.co/YatSucVtUB GDS Holdings-SW | AI data center infrastructure Alibaba Cloud announced plans to build or expand data centers in eight countries and regions over the next 12 months, further bolstering market expectations for the cloud computing, AI server, optical communication, and data center supply chains. In the short term, the Hong Kong market requires monitoring to see if the Hang Seng Index can firmly hold above the 25,000-point mark, while also observing whether the rebound in tech stocks is supported by trading volume and Southbound capital inflows. Key Focus Areas: → Statements regarding a trade truce, AI regulation, and semiconductor restrictions arising from the US-China meeting → Trends in US 10-year Treasury yields and international oil prices → Whether the Hang Seng Index can hold the 25,000-point level → Performance of overseas memory chip stocks during the South Korean market holiday → Whether Alibaba Cloud’s capital expenditure translates into orders for servers and data center equipment Our Assessment: Capital remains concentrated in high-growth sectors such as AI, semiconductors, and data centers; however, a rise in the broader indices does not mean all stocks will benefit equally. Moving forward, the focus should be on tracking actual orders, capital expenditure, capacity utilization rates, and improvements in cash flow, while prioritizing companies that are the first to translate these factors into tangible earnings.

  30301.7K viewsView on X

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